Account
0x044f1e458237fddbcf2506227d56cde6f10b157c Trades
Market | Outcome 0 | Outcome 1 | Shares 0 | Shares 1 | LP Share | Avg Price 0 | Avg Price 1 | Cur Price 0 | Cur Price 1 | Value 0 | Value 1 | End Date | Resolved | Collateral | Fees Collected | Withdrawable Fees | Net | |
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Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 1,502.61 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9670 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,502.61 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | β | -1,453.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 49.52 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on April 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 30 2021 | β | 28.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 28.58 | Trades | ||
Will at least 1% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 226.10 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8846 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 226.10 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | β | -200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 26.10 | Trades | |
Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | β | 24.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.08 | Trades | ||
Will 225M COVID-19 vaccine doses have been administered in the US by Biden's 100th day in office? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 29 2021 | β | 21.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.06 | Trades | ||
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 85 ETH on December 16, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Dec 16 2021 | β | 20.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.80 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 684.78 | 0.00% | 0.9730 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 684.78 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | β | -666.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.49 | Trades | |
Will at least 50% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 1,068.02 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9834 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,068.02 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | β | -1,050.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.77 | Trades | |
Will the Ever Given be dislodged from the Suez Canal by March 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 30 2021 | β | 17.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.56 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 31 2021 | β | 17.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.12 | Trades | ||
Will at least 10% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 896.40 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9817 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 896.40 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | β | -880.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.40 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump launch a new social media platform by June 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | β | 16.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.13 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 31 2021 | β | 15.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.20 | Trades | ||
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on November 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | β | 14.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.51 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 31 2021 | β | 11.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.37 | Trades | ||
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 200k or more before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | β | 10.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.96 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump announce a run for President by November 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | β | 10.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.63 | Trades | ||
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on November 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | β | 8.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.26 | Trades | ||
Will more than 1.75 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before April 10? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 10 2021 | β | 6.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.36 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump announce a run for President by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 105.82 | 0.00% | 0.9450 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 105.82 | Sat Oct 02 2021 | β | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.82 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump file to run for president before June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | β | 5.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.57 | Trades | ||
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 650K for the week ending on April 3? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 08 2021 | β | 4.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.99 | Trades | ||
Will Coinbaseβs NFT marketplace launch before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | 4.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.35 | Trades | ||
Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 22 2021 | β | 2.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.80 | Trades | ||
Will Ethereum switch to Proof-of-Stake (EIP-3675) by February 22, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 54.93 | 0.00% | 0.9102 | 0.04 | 0.96 | 0.00 | 52.49 | Tue Feb 22 2022 | β | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.49 | Trades | |
Will Apple, Amazon, or Twitter announce a Bitcoin purchase before July 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | β | 2.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.36 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on June 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 30 2021 | β | 2.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.20 | Trades | ||
Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by November 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | β | 2.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.14 | Trades | ||
Will Ethereum reach $5000 by the end of 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2.72 | 0.00% | 0.3672 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2.72 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.72 | Trades | |
Will at least 80% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 2.71 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3686 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2.71 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.71 | Trades | |
Will it be possible to buy a Tesla online in the US using Bitcoin before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 11.18 | 0.00% | 0.8946 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 11.18 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.18 | Trades | |
Will the FDA give emergency use authorization or otherwise approve Paxlovid before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | 0.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.99 | Trades | ||
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | 0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.58 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher at the end of November 23? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 24 2021 | β | 0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.51 | Trades | ||
Will annual inflation in the USA be 7.0% or more in December 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 12 2022 | β | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | Trades | ||
Will the US Senate pass the Build Back Better Act by Christmas Eve? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 24 2021 | β | 0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.48 | Trades | ||
Will it be possible to shop on Amazon using Bitcoin in the US before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 20.91 | 0.00% | 0.9785 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 20.91 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | -20.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.45 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 45.0% or higher at the end of October 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1.43 | 0.00% | 0.6983 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.43 | Sat Oct 16 2021 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.43 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 43% or higher on August 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 16 2021 | β | 0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.41 | Trades | ||
Which cryptocurrency will have higher market cap on November 18th: Cardano ($ADA) or Solana ($SOL)? | Cardano | Solana | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 18 2021 | β | 0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.34 | Trades | ||
Will a vacancy for the US Supreme Court be announced by September 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | 0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.28 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 41.5% or higher on January 6, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 07 2022 | β | 0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.25 | Trades | ||
Will Squid Game be the #1 Netflix show worldwide on November 7? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Nov 07 2021 | β | 0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.15 | Trades | ||
Will the Omicron variant be marked as a Variant Of High Consequence by the CDC before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | 0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.14 | Trades | ||
Will Theranos executive Elizabeth Holmes be found guilty of fraud? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | β | 0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.13 | Trades | ||
Will October 2021 average global temperature be the highest October temperature on record? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | β | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.11 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be the 2024 Republican presidential nominee? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.41 | 0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.11 | Trades | |||
Will Squid Game remain the #1 Netflix show in the US throughout the βsecond weekβ of October? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Oct 14 2021 | β | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.09 | Trades | ||
Will Britney Spearsβ father James Spears be charged with a crime by Halloween? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 31 2021 | β | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Trades | ||
Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by October 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 15 2021 | β | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Trades | ||
What will the margin be in Newsomβs recall election? | Under 10% 10% to 15% Over 15% |
1.40 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 1.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
β | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.10 | Trades | |||||||
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.5% or higher on January 14 2022? | Yes | No | 0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 15 2022 | β | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.10 | Trades | ||
Will September 2021 average global temperature be the highest September temperature on record? | Yes | No | 0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | -0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.12 | Trades | ||
Will more than 1.75 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 1? | Yes | No | 0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | β | -0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.14 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 49.0% or higher on September 27? | Yes | No | 0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 28 2021 | β | -0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.20 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 51.5% or higher on December 12th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Dec 13 2021 | β | -0.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.98 | Trades | ||
Will Tesla announce that it has bought Ethereum by July 25? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 26 2021 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be indicted for a federal or state crime by November 15? | Yes | No | 3.21 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3111 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | |
Will there be a named tropical system Wanda that forms before November 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1.42 | 0.00% | 0.7029 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | |
Will New World be a Top 3 game on Steam one month after release? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 6.40 | 0.00% | 0.1563 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Oct 28 2021 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | |
Will Tether lose its peg by November 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 24.72 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0405 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 30 2021 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | |
Will President Biden say βTrumpβ during his October 21st town hall? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2.03 | 0.00% | 0.4931 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Oct 21 2021 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | |
Will a US debt ceiling raise be enacted by December 15th? | Yes | No | 1.14 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8808 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Dec 15 2021 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | |
Which cryptocurrency will perform better in December 2021: Bitcoin or Ethereum? | Bitcoin | Ethereum | 0.00 | 1.99 | 0.00% | 0.5014 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher on January 6, 2022? | Yes | No | 1.68 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5943 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 07 2022 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | |
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 14, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 14 2021 | β | -9.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -9.90 | Trades | ||
Will Vice President Harris cast 17 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021? | Yes | No | 11.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9083 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | β | -10.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.57 | Trades | ||
Will box office sales be higher than $200 million in the first quarter of 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 03 2021 | β | -17.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -17.66 | Trades | ||
How many people will have initiated COVID-19 vaccination by Bidenβs 100th day in office? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.38 | 0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 29 2021 | β | -20.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.09 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on April 7? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 08 2021 | β | -25.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.01 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 02 2021 | β | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.00 | Trades | ||
Will Ethereum Name Service ($ENS) be listed for trading on Coinbase by November 18th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 18 2021 | β | -92.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -92.14 | Trades | ||
Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | β | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -100.00 | Trades | ||
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | -257.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -257.90 | Trades | ||
Resolved | 3,695.85 | 879.33 | -4,789.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -214.69 | ||||||||||||
Unresolved | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||||||||||||
Total | 3,695.85 | 879.33 | -4,789.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -214.69 |