Will the US have fewer than 50,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before March 15, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 15 2021
|
β
|
38.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
38.05
|
Trades
|
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 200k or more before January 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 08 2022
|
β
|
24.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.02
|
Trades
|
Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 22 2021
|
β
|
19.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19.25
|
Trades
|
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Apr 01 2021
|
β
|
14.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.33
|
Trades
|
Will Kathryn Garcia win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 22 2021
|
β
|
11.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.43
|
Trades
|
Will 21 US States administer at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose to 70% of adults by September 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 01 2021
|
β
|
11.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.32
|
Trades
|
Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on June 1, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 01 2021
|
β
|
11.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.10
|
Trades
|
Will Eric Adams win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 22 2021
|
β
|
10.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.03
|
Trades
|
Will the US have fewer than 40,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before April 16, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 16 2021
|
β
|
9.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.99
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Feb 01 2021
|
β
|
8.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.59
|
Trades
|
Will 188 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by August 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 01 2021
|
β
|
7.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.93
|
Trades
|
Will there be 19 or more named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 30 2021
|
β
|
7.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.46
|
Trades
|
Will more than 1.75 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before April 10? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 10 2021
|
β
|
6.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.35
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 20 2021
|
β
|
6.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.28
|
Trades
|
Will the US have fewer than 1000 COVID-19 cases on any day on or before September 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 02 2021
|
β
|
6.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.20
|
Trades
|
Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 08 2022
|
β
|
6.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.14
|
Trades
|
Will the U.S. Menβs Basketball team win the Gold Medal at the 2020 Olympics? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 08 2021
|
β
|
6.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.07
|
Trades
|
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 01 2021
|
β
|
5.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.99
|
Trades
|
Will the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 09 2021
|
β
|
5.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.32
|
Trades
|
Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by November 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
64.83
|
0.00% |
|
-0.0791
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 01 2021
|
β
|
5.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.13
|
Trades
|
Will indoor dining be prohibited in NYC at any point before 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 01 2021
|
β
|
4.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.57
|
Trades
|
Will 40 or more US states have high/substantial COVID-19 community spread on any day on or before September 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 01 2021
|
β
|
3.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.81
|
Trades
|
Will Elon Musk mention DOGE in his SNL appearance? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat May 08 2021
|
β
|
3.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.09
|
Trades
|
Will 225M COVID-19 vaccine doses have been administered in the US by Biden's 100th day in office? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Apr 29 2021
|
β
|
2.72
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.72
|
Trades
|
$2000 stimulus checks by February 28, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 28 2021
|
β
|
2.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.27
|
Trades
|
Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by October 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 15 2021
|
β
|
2.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.24
|
Trades
|
Donald Trump federally charged by February 20th? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 21 2021
|
β
|
1.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.81
|
Trades
|
Will the US have fewer than 35,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before April 7, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Apr 07 2021
|
β
|
1.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.37
|
Trades
|
Will there be an Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) granted for a COVID-19 vaccine before 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 02 2021
|
β
|
1.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.25
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on March 1, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 02 2021
|
β
|
1.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.15
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 31, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Apr 01 2021
|
β
|
0.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.93
|
Trades
|
Will more than 1.75 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 25? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 25 2021
|
β
|
0.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.89
|
Trades
|
Which party will win North Carolina in the 2020 presidential election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
β
|
0.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.31
|
Trades
|
Will there be a federal charge filed against Hunter Biden before 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 02 2021
|
β
|
-0.45
|
0.21
|
0.00
|
-0.24
|
Trades
|
Superbowl 55: Kansas City Chiefs vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
Chiefs |
Bucs |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Feb 08 2021
|
β
|
-2.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.39
|
Trades
|
Will Trump Pardon Himself in His First Term? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 16 2021
|
β
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the U.S. Senate special election in Georgia? (Loeffler - R vs Warnock - D) |
Dems/Warnock |
Reps/Loeffler |
0.00
|
0.03
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
β
|
-7.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.38
|
Trades
|
Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain prime minister of Israel through June 30, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 30 2021
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat May 01 2021
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
22.45
|
0.00% |
|
0.8911
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 08 2022
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will there be more than 100 positive cases of COVID-19 among athletes at the 2020 Olympics? |
Yes |
No |
64.50
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3101
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 09 2021
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
32.18
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6215
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 05 2021
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before December 31? |
Yes |
No |
29.95
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6678
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 01 2022
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will there be a named tropical system Wanda that forms before November 1st, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
24.92
|
0.00% |
|
0.8025
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 01 2021
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will it snow in New Yorks' Central Park on Christmas Eve (Dec 24)? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
24.08
|
0.00% |
|
0.8306
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 24 2021
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
84.18
|
0.21
|
0.00
|
84.38
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
84.18
|
0.21
|
0.00
|
84.38
|
|