Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
1,527.12
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8225
|
|
0.87 |
0.13 |
1,333.54
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-1,256.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
77.54
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30, 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-0.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.23
|
Trades
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
14.29
|
0.00% |
|
0.3500
|
0.79 |
0.21 |
0.00
|
2.94
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.06
|
Trades
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2024 election? |
Democrats |
Republicans |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3400
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-5.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.10
|
Trades
|
Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
20.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.3450
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 31 2024
|
|
-6.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.90
|
Trades
|
Will Argentina dollarize in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
75.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2000
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.00
|
Trades
|
Trump jail before election day? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
50.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8900
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-44.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-44.50
|
Trades
|
Canada federal election in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
111.11
|
0.00% |
|
0.9000
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.00
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.93 |
0.07 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-118.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-118.03
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
164.23
|
0.00% |
|
0.7916
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-130.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-130.00
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.05
|
0.00% |
|
1.2800
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 01 2025
|
|
-256.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-256.06
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
7,373.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7,373.39
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by Jan 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 20 2024
|
โ
|
7,302.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7,302.80
|
Trades
|
Israel or Palestine responsible for Gaza hospital explosion? |
Israel |
Palestine |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 20 2023
|
โ
|
4,598.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4,598.08
|
Trades
|
Will there be 19 or more named storms during the 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 01 2023
|
โ
|
4,085.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4,085.29
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 19 2023
|
โ
|
2,894.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,894.14
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 have the hottest February on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
โ
|
2,142.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,142.50
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.18 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
1,887.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,887.30
|
Trades
|
Will 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' movie gross over $100m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
โ
|
1,543.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,543.63
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 02 2023
|
โ
|
1,375.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,375.06
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
1,361.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,361.94
|
Trades
|
Superconductor "Yes" trading between 15ยข and 65ยข EOW? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 06 2023
|
โ
|
1,235.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,235.70
|
Trades
|
Will Barbenheimer overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 16 2023
|
โ
|
1,234.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,234.88
|
Trades
|
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
โ
|
1,092.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,092.74
|
Trades
|
Military intervention in Niger by September 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 15 2023
|
โ
|
1,009.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,009.31
|
Trades
|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
839.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
839.37
|
Trades
|
Coinbase a top 25 app in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
โ
|
777.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
777.50
|
Trades
|
CZ jail before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
โ
|
742.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
742.39
|
Trades
|
Will there be widespread flooding in LA? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 23 2023
|
โ
|
658.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
658.64
|
Trades
|
Trump heavier than 260 lbs? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
โ
|
654.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
654.89
|
Trades
|
Will 'Five Nights at Freddy's' gross over $60m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 29 2023
|
โ
|
627.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
627.54
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' gross over $35m over August 11-13? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 13 2023
|
โ
|
620.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
620.36
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 20 2023
|
โ
|
606.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
606.56
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $45 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 12 2023
|
โ
|
434.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
434.64
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
โ
|
333.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
333.64
|
Trades
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
278.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
278.26
|
Trades
|
Will 'Five Nights at Freddy's' gross over $80m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 29 2023
|
โ
|
243.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
243.40
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be Speaker by Mar 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
โ
|
240.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
240.19
|
Trades
|
Who will get more votes in Taiwan Election: Hou Yu-ih (ไพฏๅๅฎ) or Ko Wen-je (ๆฏๆๅฒ)? |
Yu-ih |
Wen-je |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 13 2024
|
โ
|
230.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
230.24
|
Trades
|
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 30 2023
|
โ
|
216.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
216.52
|
Trades
|
Will 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' movie gross over $125m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
โ
|
204.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
204.57
|
Trades
|
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
โ
|
197.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
197.82
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
โ
|
161.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
161.55
|
Trades
|
Will 'Blue Beetle' gross over $13m this weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 27 2023
|
โ
|
135.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
135.20
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Feb 24 2024
|
โ
|
127.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
127.45
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
โ
|
115.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
115.28
|
Trades
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Ko Wen-je win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sat Jan 13 2024
|
โ
|
112.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
112.39
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Yemen in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
103.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
103.83
|
Trades
|
Will 'Five Nights at Freddy's' gross over $100m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 29 2023
|
โ
|
101.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
101.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 8 days? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 02 2023
|
โ
|
97.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
97.82
|
Trades
|
Will there be 21+ named storms during the Atlantic Hurricane Season? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
โ
|
93.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
93.49
|
Trades
|
Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
โ
|
54.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
54.97
|
Trades
|
Will 'My Big Fat Greek Wedding 3' gross over $10m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Sep 11 2023
|
โ
|
52.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
52.48
|
Trades
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 13 2024
|
โ
|
50.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
50.45
|
Trades
|
Will Byron Donalds be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
โ
|
50.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
50.30
|
Trades
|
Will Niger's coup trigger military intervention? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Mon Aug 14 2023
|
โ
|
50.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
50.10
|
Trades
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
41.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
41.00
|
Trades
|
SBF sentenced to 50+ years? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
โ
|
36.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
36.34
|
Trades
|
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03ยฐC or higher) |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
35.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
35.92
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes' gross over $50m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 20 2023
|
โ
|
35.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
35.07
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 have the hottest March on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
โ
|
34.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
34.99
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Nun II' gross over $40m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Sep 11 2023
|
โ
|
20.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.21
|
Trades
|
Will Newsom appoint a black woman as Feinstein's replacement? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
โ
|
16.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.05
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in South Gaza by Dec 8? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 08 2023
|
โ
|
13.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.38
|
Trades
|
Instacart market cap >20b? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
10.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.83
|
Trades
|
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
โ
|
10.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.75
|
Trades
|
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
โ
|
8.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.34
|
Trades
|
Logan Paul vs. Dillon Danis |
Paul |
Danis |
0.00
|
6.63
|
0.00% |
|
-1.2482
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 14 2023
|
โ
|
8.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.27
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' gross over $16m this weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 27 2023
|
โ
|
7.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.65
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win Virginia Republican Primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
โ
|
7.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.60
|
Trades
|
Will 'Napoleon' gross over $32.5m over its 5-day opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 27 2023
|
โ
|
7.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.57
|
Trades
|
Will โThe Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakesโ have a bigger opening weekend than 'The Marvels'? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 20 2023
|
โ
|
7.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.05
|
Trades
|
Will Maersk resume shipping through Red Sea by end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
7.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.00
|
Trades
|
Will Israel invade Lebanon by January 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 20 2024
|
โ
|
6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.00
|
Trades
|
Will Australia's Indigenous Voice referendum pass? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 16 2023
|
โ
|
4.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.84
|
Trades
|
Will Biden be impeached by December 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
3.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.40
|
Trades
|
Will the Epstein documents name Donald Trump? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
โ
|
2.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.34
|
Trades
|
Claudine Gay still Harvard President by end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
2.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.01
|
Trades
|
Will Iran officially join the war before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
โ
|
1.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.61
|
Trades
|
Will Israel have full control of its territory on Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
โ
|
1.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.06
|
Trades
|
Israeli troops on the ground in Gaza by the end of this week? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 13 2023
|
โ
|
0.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.64
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Equalizer 3' gross over $35m Labor Day weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 05 2023
|
โ
|
0.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.43
|
Trades
|
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 10? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 10 2023
|
โ
|
0.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.06
|
Trades
|
Will โTaylor Swift: Eras Tourโ have a bigger opening weekend than 'Barbie'? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
โ
|
-1.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.95
|
Trades
|
Will Logan Paul and Nina Agdal's engagement be called off? |
Yes |
No |
220.51
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0136
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
โ
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will Steve Scalise be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 29 2024
|
โ
|
-4.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.98
|
Trades
|
Will the Epstein documents name Bill Gates? |
Yes |
No |
8.85
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
โ
|
-5.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.75
|
Trades
|
Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week? |
Yes |
No |
57.55
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1390
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 26 2023
|
โ
|
-8.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.00
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,700 on Sep 8? |
Yes |
No |
39.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2054
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 08 2023
|
โ
|
-8.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.01
|
Trades
|
Will MrBeast Hit 200 Million Subscribers by Thanksgiving? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
45.45
|
0.00% |
|
0.1829
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 23 2023
|
โ
|
-8.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.31
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
19.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
-8.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.55
|
Trades
|
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
112.50
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
โ
|
-9.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.00
|
Trades
|
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
272.08
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0441
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
-12.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-12.00
|
Trades
|
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by March 15? |
Yes |
No |
178.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0886
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
โ
|
-15.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.78
|
Trades
|
Will Venezuela invade Guyana before February? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
โ
|
-16.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-16.00
|
Trades
|
Will Ye say something antisemitic before February? |
Yes |
No |
120.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
โ
|
-16.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-16.80
|
Trades
|
US military intervention by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
โ
|
-17.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-17.45
|
Trades
|
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Oct 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 20 2023
|
โ
|
-17.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-17.60
|
Trades
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
75.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.2500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
-18.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-18.75
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas surrender before February? |
Yes |
No |
654.89
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0381
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
โ
|
-24.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-24.97
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas surrender in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
385.93
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0648
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-25.00
|
Trades
|
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 17? |
Yes |
No |
67.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3880
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 17 2023
|
โ
|
-26.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-26.00
|
Trades
|
Will Patrick McHenry be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
120.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2377
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
โ
|
-28.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-28.53
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
41.25
|
0.00% |
|
0.7515
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
โ
|
-31.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-31.00
|
Trades
|
Will the New York Times definitively state Israel was not behind the Gaza hospital blast? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
โ
|
-31.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-31.00
|
Trades
|
Will AI be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
81.40
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 14 2024
|
โ
|
-35.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-35.00
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
729.17
|
0.00% |
|
0.0480
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 23 2024
|
โ
|
-35.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-35.00
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 15 2024
|
โ
|
-35.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-35.85
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
52.04
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
-36.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-36.43
|
Trades
|
Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
โ
|
-37.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-37.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'A Haunting in Venice' gross over $14m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
94.39
|
0.00% |
|
0.4413
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 07 2023
|
โ
|
-41.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-41.65
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
172.41
|
0.00% |
|
0.2900
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
โ
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.05 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 30 2023
|
โ
|
-54.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-54.21
|
Trades
|
Will Mike Johnson be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
530.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.1225
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
โ
|
-64.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-64.95
|
Trades
|
Will MrBeast Hit 200 Million Subscribers by Halloween? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
โ
|
-66.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-66.02
|
Trades
|
Ecuador Presidential Election: Will Luisa Gonzรกlez win? |
Yes |
No |
226.60
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3725
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
โ
|
-84.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-84.40
|
Trades
|
Will 'Blue Beetle' gross over $27m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 20 2023
|
โ
|
-93.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-93.93
|
Trades
|
Nikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary? |
Yes |
No |
445.91
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2261
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 06 2024
|
โ
|
-100.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.81
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.11 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
-180.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-180.82
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.08 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
-188.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-188.64
|
Trades
|
US Congress approve more Ukraine aid in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
551.78
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5236
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
-288.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-288.93
|
Trades
|
Will Taylor Swift be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
519.96
|
0.00% |
|
0.7842
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 14 2023
|
โ
|
-407.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-407.75
|
Trades
|
'Dune 2' bigger opening weekend than 'Dune'? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
โ
|
-423.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-423.24
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win Vermont Republican Primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
โ
|
-1,011.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,011.35
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 9? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,029.76
|
0.00% |
|
2.1494
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 09 2024
|
โ
|
-4,362.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4,362.75
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.04
|
0.04
|
|
|
40,742.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
40,742.85
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1,333.54
|
2.94
|
|
|
-1,936.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-600.35
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1,333.58
|
2.97
|
|
|
38,805.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
40,142.50
|
|