Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
17,723.06
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7420
|
|
0.87 |
0.13 |
15,476.42
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-13,149.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,326.61
|
Trades
|
Will Republican VP nominee be a woman? |
Yes |
No |
3,018.78
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1988
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
1,509.39
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-600.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
909.39
|
Trades
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination? |
Yes |
No |
6,478.05
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7109
|
|
0.79 |
0.21 |
5,146.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-4,605.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
541.01
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8400
|
|
0.93 |
0.07 |
464.05
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-420.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
44.05
|
Trades
|
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
496.43
|
0.00% |
|
0.8660
|
0.06 |
0.94 |
0.00
|
466.54
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-429.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
36.61
|
Trades
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
119.05
|
0.00% |
|
0.8400
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.00
|
Trades
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2024 election? |
Democrats |
Republicans |
0.00
|
273.97
|
0.00% |
|
0.7300
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-200.00
|
Trades
|
Who will get more votes in Taiwan Election: Hou Yu-ih (侯友宜) or Ko Wen-je (柯文哲)? |
Yu-ih |
Wen-je |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 13 2024
|
✅ |
6,203.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6,203.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win every state in Republican Nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 25 2024
|
✅ |
2,734.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,734.86
|
Trades
|
NY-3 Special Election for Santos seat: Suozzi (D) vs. Pilip (R) |
Suozzi |
Pilip |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 13 2024
|
✅ |
1,538.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,538.73
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 19 2023
|
✅ |
1,185.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,185.00
|
Trades
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Ko Wen-je win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 13 2024
|
✅ |
752.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
752.46
|
Trades
|
Will DPP (民進黨) win a majority in the 2024 Taiwanese General Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 13 2024
|
✅ |
396.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
396.00
|
Trades
|
Super Bowl: Taylor Swift shown more than 5 times? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 11 2024
|
✅ |
370.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
370.30
|
Trades
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 13 2024
|
✅ |
148.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
148.00
|
Trades
|
NY-3 Special Election: Will Suozzi (D) win by over 5%? |
Yes |
No |
153.57
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4791
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
153.57
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 13 2024
|
✅ |
-73.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
80.00
|
Trades
|
Will NH be the first primary in 2024 Dem. nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 06 2024
|
✅ |
75.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
75.00
|
Trades
|
CA-22 House: Will a Democrat (Salas) or Republican (Valadao) win? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
67.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
67.52
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. Supreme Court vote to reinstate Trump on Colorado's 2024 ballot? |
Yes |
No |
125.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7480
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
125.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
✅ |
-93.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
31.50
|
Trades
|
US bank failure in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
228.64
|
0.00% |
|
0.9112
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
228.64
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-208.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.30
|
Trades
|
Will Trump appear on Colorado primary ballot? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
✅ |
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
Will Steve Scalise be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sat Jun 29 2024
|
✅ |
-9.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.99
|
Trades
|
PA-08 House: Will a Democrat (Cartwright) or Republican (Bognet) win? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
72.51
|
0.00% |
|
0.3448
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-25.00
|
Trades
|
Will Patrick McHenry be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
713.62
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0701
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
OH-09 House: Will a Democrat (Kaptur) or Republican (Majewski) win? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
197.54
|
0.00% |
|
0.2531
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
TX-34 House: Will a Democrat (Gonzalez) or Republican (Flores) win? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
140.49
|
0.00% |
|
0.3559
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
MI-07 House: Will a Democrat (Slotkin) or Republican (Barrett) win? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
147.73
|
0.00% |
|
0.3384
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
PA-07 House: Will a Democrat (Wild) or Republican (Scheller) win? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
91.01
|
0.00% |
|
0.5494
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Masters) win in Arizona? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
221.94
|
0.00% |
|
0.4506
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.00
|
Trades
|
Mayorkas impeached by Feb 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
600.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.2083
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 15 2024
|
✅ |
-125.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-125.00
|
Trades
|
Ukraine aid package in February? |
Yes |
No |
4,005.56
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0321
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-128.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-128.56
|
Trades
|
Will Kevin McCarthy be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
1,295.28
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1158
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
-150.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-150.00
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by March 20? |
Yes |
No |
600.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3733
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 20 2024
|
✅ |
-224.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-224.00
|
Trades
|
Ukraine aid package by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
1,563.64
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2238
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-350.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-350.00
|
Trades
|
Will a Democrat win the Kentucky gubernatorial election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,900.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.2674
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
✅ |
-775.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-775.38
|
Trades
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Hou Yu-ih win? |
Yes |
No |
14,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1086
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 13 2024
|
✅ |
-1,520.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,520.00
|
Trades
|
Will Sinema announce she's running for re-election? |
Yes |
No |
25,760.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1015
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 08 2024
|
✅ |
-2,613.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2,613.70
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
278.57
|
228.65
|
|
|
6,820.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7,328.04
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
22,595.87
|
466.54
|
|
|
-19,504.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,557.67
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
22,874.44
|
695.18
|
|
|
-12,683.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10,885.71
|
|