Netanyahu out by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
438.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
438.84
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
6.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.76
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.44 |
0.56 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 08 2024
|
|
-0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Will β₯10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.01
|
Trades
|
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.05 |
0.95 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-0.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.14
|
Trades
|
Puffer airdrop by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
9.93
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1800
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-1.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.79
|
Trades
|
US congress stock trading ban by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
142.86
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0700
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.89 |
0.11 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-14.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-14.51
|
Trades
|
Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 31 2024
|
|
-24.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-24.50
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.96 |
0.04 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-38.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-38.50
|
Trades
|
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
742.86
|
0.00% |
|
0.8233
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-611.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-611.57
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
4,153.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4,153.21
|
Trades
|
Will another 'Forbes 30 Under 30' be arrested in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
2,868.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,868.16
|
Trades
|
Will Ether Rock sell for over $600k at Sothebyβs? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
2,393.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,393.48
|
Trades
|
Fuel shipments to Gaza by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
2,309.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,309.69
|
Trades
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
1,749.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,749.45
|
Trades
|
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
1,677.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,677.93
|
Trades
|
Trump mugshot by Sep 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
β
|
1,218.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,218.77
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
1,068.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,068.88
|
Trades
|
Will "Hamas" be said 10 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 06 2023
|
β
|
1,031.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,031.36
|
Trades
|
Will anyone say "Alien" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 18 2023
|
β
|
1,021.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,021.62
|
Trades
|
US response to Iranβs drone attack by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
1,009.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,009.59
|
Trades
|
US Congress approve more Ukraine aid in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
981.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
981.41
|
Trades
|
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
915.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
915.54
|
Trades
|
Will Zelensky visit Israel by Nov 10? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 10 2023
|
β
|
792.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
792.45
|
Trades
|
George Santos expelled in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
789.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
789.21
|
Trades
|
Aella: Will more men report they were spanked than women? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
785.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
785.33
|
Trades
|
Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 26 2023
|
β
|
715.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
715.33
|
Trades
|
US call for Gaza ceasefire before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
634.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
634.32
|
Trades
|
Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
628.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
628.16
|
Trades
|
Will "Biden" be said by every candidate in the 3rd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
β
|
574.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
574.00
|
Trades
|
Will there be widespread flooding in LA? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 23 2023
|
β
|
516.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
516.26
|
Trades
|
GTA 6 release date by end of year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
484.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
484.49
|
Trades
|
Will 'Five Nights at Freddy's' gross over $60m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 29 2023
|
β
|
460.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
460.67
|
Trades
|
Will 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' movie gross over $100m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
β
|
443.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
443.62
|
Trades
|
Will Trump attend the first RNC debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 23 2023
|
β
|
357.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
357.11
|
Trades
|
Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
351.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
351.02
|
Trades
|
Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
313.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
313.26
|
Trades
|
OpenAI Sora public release before May? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.24
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.24
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
β
|
311.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
311.43
|
Trades
|
Will the UAW strike end by October 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
310.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
310.39
|
Trades
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Ko Wen-je win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 13 2024
|
β
|
296.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
296.89
|
Trades
|
Will 'Five Nights at Freddy's' gross over $80m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 29 2023
|
β
|
261.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
261.61
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 19 2023
|
β
|
244.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
244.89
|
Trades
|
Congress passes bill banning TikTok by Apr 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
β
|
238.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
238.30
|
Trades
|
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
-1.1789
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
β
|
235.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
235.78
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $55 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Nov 12 2023
|
β
|
216.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
216.99
|
Trades
|
North Korea missile test by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
187.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
187.82
|
Trades
|
American aid to Israel by Nov 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 15 2023
|
β
|
175.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
175.36
|
Trades
|
CZ sentenced to prison? |
Yes |
No |
457.59
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6370
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
457.59
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
β
|
-291.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
166.09
|
Trades
|
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 8 days? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 02 2023
|
β
|
107.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
107.88
|
Trades
|
SBF guilty of all charges? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
96.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
96.23
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Marvels' flop? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
93.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
93.57
|
Trades
|
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
90.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
90.22
|
Trades
|
Will MbappΓ© leave PSG? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
β
|
89.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
89.35
|
Trades
|
Iceland volcanic eruption by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
77.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
77.52
|
Trades
|
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Fri Feb 23 2024
|
β
|
67.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
67.10
|
Trades
|
Will DOJ charge Binance by EoY? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
65.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
65.86
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
65.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
65.41
|
Trades
|
Houthis strike U.S. military by end of January? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
250.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8160
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
250.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-204.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
46.00
|
Trades
|
LayerZero airdrop in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
40.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
40.37
|
Trades
|
Will the Epstein documents name Bill Gates? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
36.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
36.64
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. Supreme Court vote to reinstate Trump on Colorado's 2024 ballot? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
β
|
35.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
35.27
|
Trades
|
Will Niger's coup trigger military intervention? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 14 2023
|
β
|
33.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
33.26
|
Trades
|
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,000.01
|
0.00% |
|
-0.0305
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
30.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
30.50
|
Trades
|
Military intervention in Niger by September 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 15 2023
|
β
|
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
25.00
|
Trades
|
Killers of the Flower Moon vs. Taylor Swift |
Killers |
Taylor Swift |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Mon Oct 23 2023
|
β
|
24.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.96
|
Trades
|
American aid to Israel by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
22.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
22.39
|
Trades
|
Will SBF plead guilty by August 21? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 21 2023
|
β
|
17.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.10
|
Trades
|
Trump heavier than 260 lbs? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
β
|
17.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.03
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 15 2023
|
β
|
17.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.00
|
Trades
|
Liz Magill still UPenn President by end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
β
|
16.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.82
|
Trades
|
Hamas command center under al-Shifa Hospital? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
14.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.10
|
Trades
|
SBF sentenced to life? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
500.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9800
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
500.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
-490.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump visit Israel by Nov 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 15 2023
|
β
|
3.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.31
|
Trades
|
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Oct 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 20 2023
|
β
|
1.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.57
|
Trades
|
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
0.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.30
|
Trades
|
Will Pope Francis remain Pope through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Oppenheimer' gross over $50m on its second weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.38
|
Trades
|
Saudi Arabia non-oil GDP % up in Q3? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 30 2023
|
β
|
-0.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.98
|
Trades
|
Will anyone say "alien" in the 4th RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 06 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
β
|
-3.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.04
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin say Zelensky in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 07 2024
|
β
|
-3.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.33
|
Trades
|
Will Hilary hit US as a hurricane? |
Yes |
No |
150.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 25 2023
|
β
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-10.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.26
|
Trades
|
Will Zuck KO Musk? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
β
|
-10.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.77
|
Trades
|
Will 'Tears of the Kingdom' win Game of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 07 2023
|
β
|
-18.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-18.86
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin say Nazi in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 07 2024
|
β
|
-18.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-18.99
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-21.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-21.92
|
Trades
|
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
129.40
|
0.00% |
|
0.1924
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 01 2024
|
β
|
-24.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-24.90
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
280.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0929
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-26.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-26.00
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
42.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.6361
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 15 2024
|
β
|
-26.72
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-26.72
|
Trades
|
Will Patrick McHenry be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
41.43
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6541
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
-27.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-27.10
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
322.26
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0931
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-30.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Five Nights at Freddy's' gross over $100m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
300.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 29 2023
|
β
|
-30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-30.00
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-32.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-32.26
|
Trades
|
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 17? |
Yes |
No |
149.77
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2251
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 17 2023
|
β
|
-33.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-33.71
|
Trades
|
Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-34.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-34.54
|
Trades
|
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
569.25
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0711
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-40.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-40.46
|
Trades
|
Will Canada sanction India by October 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-41.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-41.37
|
Trades
|
Will MrBeast Hit 200 Million Subscribers by Halloween? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,006.14
|
0.00% |
|
0.0447
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-45.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-45.00
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 17 2023
|
β
|
-46.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-46.32
|
Trades
|
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-49.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-49.76
|
Trades
|
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Fri May 31 2024
|
β
|
-51.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-51.66
|
Trades
|
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
501.90
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1136
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 14 2023
|
β
|
-57.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-57.00
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by October 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-66.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-66.00
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-68.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-68.15
|
Trades
|
Will Saudi Arabia accept invitation to join BRICS? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 01 2024
|
β
|
-71.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-71.65
|
Trades
|
Will Byron Donalds be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
-77.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-77.21
|
Trades
|
Will Ye say something antisemitic before February? |
Yes |
No |
589.29
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-82.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-82.50
|
Trades
|
Will βTaylor Swift: Eras Tourβ have a bigger opening weekend than 'Barbie'? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
β
|
-94.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-94.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trudeau announce resignation by EoY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-108.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-108.30
|
Trades
|
Will Tom Emmer be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
-110.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-110.41
|
Trades
|
Will Kanye release βVulturesβ by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
418.65
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2702
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 15 2023
|
β
|
-113.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-113.10
|
Trades
|
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 10 days? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Dec 04 2023
|
β
|
-113.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-113.49
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-122.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-122.17
|
Trades
|
Will the New York Times definitively state Israel was not behind the Gaza hospital blast? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
β
|
-122.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-122.40
|
Trades
|
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by March 15? |
Yes |
No |
495.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
β
|
-128.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-128.70
|
Trades
|
US military intervention by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-134.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-134.94
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 have the hottest March on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
β
|
-136.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-136.00
|
Trades
|
Will the US publicly state that Iran was directly involved with the recent attack on Israel in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-146.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-146.96
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' gross over $35m over August 11-13? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 13 2023
|
β
|
-153.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-153.00
|
Trades
|
Will anyone say "alien" in the 3rd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
204.88
|
0.00% |
|
0.8200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
β
|
-168.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-168.00
|
Trades
|
Will AI be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 14 2024
|
β
|
-173.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-173.56
|
Trades
|
NYC trucker strike for Trump by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
1,200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1487
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 23 2024
|
β
|
-178.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-178.50
|
Trades
|
Israeli troops on the ground in Gaza by the end of this week? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 13 2023
|
β
|
-188.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-188.15
|
Trades
|
Will Mike Johnson be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
-195.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-195.19
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $60,000 in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
300.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.6800
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-204.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-204.00
|
Trades
|
Will Musk fight Zuck in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.03
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.03
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-217.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-217.36
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? |
Yes |
No |
1,180.24
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1845
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Feb 24 2024
|
β
|
-217.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-217.80
|
Trades
|
Will "Ukraine" be said 10 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
329.23
|
0.00% |
|
0.6834
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
β
|
-225.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-225.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' movie gross over $125m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
β
|
-233.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-233.33
|
Trades
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 13 2024
|
β
|
-244.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-244.01
|
Trades
|
Will 'Napoleon' gross over $32.5m over its 5-day opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
473.80
|
0.00% |
|
0.5650
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 27 2023
|
β
|
-267.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-267.68
|
Trades
|
Ethereum spot ETF approved by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
-280.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-280.79
|
Trades
|
βAll I want for Christmas is Youβ #1 on Billboard Hot 100 first week of 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.07
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 06 2024
|
β
|
-287.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-287.29
|
Trades
|
SBF sentenced to 50+ years? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
-372.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-372.22
|
Trades
|
Will "Hamas" be said 15 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
8,245.90
|
0.00% |
|
0.0597
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
β
|
-492.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-492.67
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Yemen in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-498.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-498.15
|
Trades
|
Will SBF get Adderall in jail? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-513.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-513.08
|
Trades
|
Will Barbenheimer overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 16 2023
|
β
|
-521.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-521.88
|
Trades
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-541.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-541.42
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Fri Oct 20 2023
|
β
|
-562.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-562.04
|
Trades
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.03
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.03
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-603.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-603.86
|
Trades
|
OpenAI board out by end of week? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 26 2023
|
β
|
-646.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-646.10
|
Trades
|
US call for Gaza ceasefire before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-941.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-941.50
|
Trades
|
Will NH be the first primary in 2024 Dem. nomination? |
Yes |
No |
1,971.66
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5451
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 06 2024
|
β
|
-1,074.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,074.83
|
Trades
|
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
2,259.20
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4868
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 14 2023
|
β
|
-1,099.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,099.82
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
457.64
|
750.39
|
|
|
19,336.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20,544.11
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.02
|
0.01
|
|
|
-255.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-255.42
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
457.66
|
750.40
|
|
|
19,080.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20,288.68
|
|