Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
2,776.70
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8010
|
|
0.87 |
0.13 |
2,424.71
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-2,224.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
200.71
|
Trades
|
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,077.01
|
0.00% |
|
0.9085
|
0.06 |
0.94 |
0.00
|
1,951.94
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-1,887.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
64.94
|
Trades
|
Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
450.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9200
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 31 2024
|
|
-414.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-414.00
|
Trades
|
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,834.18
|
0.00% |
|
0.4679
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-1,326.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,326.00
|
Trades
|
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 14 2023
|
✅ |
1,314.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,314.43
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Feb 24 2024
|
✅ |
146.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
146.55
|
Trades
|
Taylor Swift engaged by April 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,397.85
|
0.00% |
|
0.9300
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,397.85
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
✅ |
-1,300.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
97.85
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on April 1, 2024? |
Yes |
No |
102.54
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9753
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
102.54
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
✅ |
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.54
|
Trades
|
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
✅ |
1.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.82
|
Trades
|
Will OpenAI release GPT-4.5 before April? |
Yes |
No |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-5.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.25
|
Trades
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-145.87
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-145.87
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before 2023? |
Yes |
No |
7,049.54
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2052
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
-1,446.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,446.57
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
3,165.75
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6810
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
-2,156.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2,156.00
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
102.54
|
1,397.85
|
|
|
-3,690.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2,190.50
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2,424.71
|
1,951.94
|
|
|
-5,851.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,474.34
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2,527.25
|
3,349.79
|
|
|
-9,541.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3,664.84
|
|