Polymarket Whales

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Market Outcome 0 Outcome 1 Shares 0 Shares 1 LP Share Avg Price 0 Avg Price 1 Cur Price 0 Cur Price 1 Value 0 Value 1 End Date Resolved Collateral Fees Collected Withdrawable Fees Net
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 36.41 0.00 0.00% 0.7197 0.93 0.07 33.79 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -26.20 0.00 0.00 7.59 Trades
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 110.62 0.00% 0.9287 0.04 0.96 0.00 106.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -102.73 0.00 0.00 3.27 Trades
Will Republican VP nominee be a woman? Yes No 0.00 7.63 0.00% 0.2031 0.50 0.50 0.00 3.82 Tue Sep 10 2024 -1.55 0.00 0.00 2.27 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.03 0.97 0.00 0.01 Tue Sep 10 2024 2.01 0.00 0.00 2.02 Trades
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? Democratic Republican 0.00 23.03 0.00% 0.4710 0.46 0.54 0.00 12.34 Fri Nov 08 2024 -10.85 0.00 0.00 1.49 Trades
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 1.35 0.00 0.00 1.35 Trades
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 1.10 0.00 0.00 1.10 Trades
Will Chris Christie win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 30.26 0.00% 0.9583 0.01 0.99 0.00 29.96 Tue Sep 10 2024 -29.00 0.00 0.00 0.96 Trades
Trump and Biden both lose nomination? Yes No 0.00 8.09 0.00% 0.9564 0.03 0.97 0.00 7.85 Sun Jun 30 2024 -7.74 0.00 0.00 0.11 Trades
Will Pete Buttigieg win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 10.32 0.00% 0.9690 0.04 0.96 0.00 9.88 Sat Aug 10 2024 -10.00 0.00 0.00 -0.12 Trades
OpenAI settlement with NYT by end of 2024? Yes No 0.80 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -0.24 0.00 0.00 -0.24 Trades
Trump and Biden both win nomination? Yes No 9.70 0.00 0.49% 0.8224 0.79 0.21 7.71 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -7.98 0.00 0.00 -0.27 Trades
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 1.12 0.00 0.00% 1.1522 0.87 0.13 0.98 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 -1.29 0.00 0.00 -0.31 Trades
Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI in 2024? Yes No 0.00 5.00 0.00% 0.0700 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -0.35 0.00 0.00 -0.35 Trades
Will the US ban sharing deepfake nudes in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -0.95 0.00 0.00 -0.95 Trades
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 47.87 0.00% 0.9749 0.05 0.95 0.00 45.71 Sat Aug 10 2024 -46.67 0.00 0.00 -0.97 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on June 1, 2024? Yes No 1.05 0.00 0.00% 0.9550 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 01 2024 -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will Kari Lake win the U.S. 2024 Republican vice presidential nomination? Yes No 5.88 0.00 0.00% 0.1700 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Sep 09 2024 -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican vice presidential nomination? Yes No 5.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2000 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Sep 09 2024 -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will Kamala Harris win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 45.62 0.00% 0.9398 0.08 0.92 0.00 41.86 Sat Aug 10 2024 -42.87 0.00 0.00 -1.01 Trades
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 3.21 0.00% 1.4468 0.06 0.94 0.00 3.02 Tue Sep 10 2024 -4.65 0.00 0.00 -1.63 Trades
Netanyahu out by June 30? Yes No 0.00 2.52 0.00% 0.7935 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican vice presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 2.06 0.00% 0.9700 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Sep 09 2024 -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30, 2024? Yes No 0.00 2.12 0.00% 0.9450 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record? Yes No 0.00 5.48 0.00% 0.3649 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Mar 01 2025 -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will Trump and Biden debate before presidential election? Yes No 3.37 0.00 0.00% 0.7100 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -2.39 0.00 0.00 -2.39 Trades
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 7.13 0.00% 1.3642 0.06 0.94 0.00 6.73 Tue Sep 10 2024 -9.73 0.00 0.00 -3.00 Trades
Will Dean Phillips win the U.S. Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 5.21 0.00% 0.9590 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? Yes No 0.00 5.95 0.00% 0.8400 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Craig Wright proven to be Satoshi before July? Yes No 0.00 5.21 0.00% 0.9590 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Hamas still holding hostages through end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 12.50 0.00% 0.4000 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Trump jail before election day? Yes No 0.00 6.82 0.00% 0.8794 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -6.00 0.00 0.00 -6.00 Trades
Is John McAfee alive? Yes No 0.00 9.45 0.00% 0.9300 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -8.79 0.00 0.00 -8.79 Trades
OpenAI settlement with Elon Musk before July? Yes No 0.00 11.57 0.00% 0.8643 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024? Yes No 0.00 11.37 0.00% 0.8799 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August? Yes No 0.00 15.00 0.00% 0.8900 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 01 2024 -13.35 0.00 0.00 -13.35 Trades
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 ✅ 152.10 0.00 0.00 152.10 Trades
Trump mugshot by Aug 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 15 2023 ✅ 139.46 0.00 0.00 139.46 Trades
Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 26 2023 ✅ 107.56 0.00 0.00 107.56 Trades
2023 FIDE World Cup: Will Magnus Carlsen win top 3? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 23 2023 ✅ 101.78 0.00 0.00 101.78 Trades
BTC above $28,000 at end of August? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ 37.94 0.00 0.00 37.94 Trades
Scorigami in NFL Week 5? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 09 2023 ✅ 35.55 0.00 0.00 35.55 Trades
GTA 6 release date by end of year? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 22.64 0.00 0.00 22.64 Trades
Temporary ceasefire for hostages deal by Nov 10? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 10 2023 ✅ 21.49 0.00 0.00 21.49 Trades
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 01 2024 ✅ 20.93 0.00 0.00 20.93 Trades
ETH above $1,700 on October 13? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 13 2023 ✅ 19.80 0.00 0.00 19.80 Trades
Will Idalia hit Florida as a major hurricane? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 30 2023 ✅ 18.45 0.00 0.00 18.45 Trades
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 17 2023 ✅ 15.60 0.00 0.00 15.60 Trades
Will Logan Paul refund CryptoZoo investors by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 12.87 0.00 0.00 12.87 Trades
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 12.30 0.00 0.00 12.30 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship launch before March? Yes No 0.00 71.10 0.00% 0.8282 0.00 1.00 0.00 71.10 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -58.89 0.00 0.00 12.21 Trades
Will Ukraine receive F-16s by end of January? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 12.18 0.00 0.00 12.18 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by December 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 11.93 0.00 0.00 11.93 Trades
Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 24 2023 ✅ 11.65 0.00 0.00 11.65 Trades
Nikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 06 2024 ✅ 11.14 0.00 0.00 11.14 Trades
Will Trump attend the first RNC debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 23 2023 ✅ 10.90 0.00 0.00 10.90 Trades
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Jan 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 15 2024 ✅ 9.49 0.00 0.00 9.49 Trades
Will Steve Scalise be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 29 2024 ✅ 8.00 0.00 0.00 8.00 Trades
ETH above $1,600 on Halloween? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ 7.76 0.00 0.00 7.76 Trades
Will the vote to oust McCarthy have a margin of 15-50? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 30 2023 ✅ 7.50 0.00 0.00 7.50 Trades
Will the New York Times definitively state Israel was not behind the Gaza hospital blast? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 ✅ 7.50 0.00 0.00 7.50 Trades
Will Australia's Indigenous Voice referendum pass? Yes No 0.00 47.50 0.00% 0.8474 0.00 1.00 0.00 47.50 Sat Dec 16 2023 ✅ -40.25 0.00 0.00 7.25 Trades
Will Magnus Carlsen win the Speed Chess Championship? Yes No 1.67 0.00 0.00% -3.3000 1.00 0.00 1.67 0.00 Fri Sep 22 2023 ✅ 5.50 0.00 0.00 7.17 Trades
Will 'Tears of the Kingdom' win Game of the Year? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 07 2023 ✅ 7.05 0.00 0.00 7.05 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 19 2023 ✅ 7.02 0.00 0.00 7.02 Trades
Will the WGA strike end by September 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 ✅ 6.60 0.00 0.00 6.60 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by October 31? Yes No 0.00 16.88 0.00% 0.6337 0.00 1.00 0.00 16.88 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ -10.70 0.00 0.00 6.18 Trades
Will anyone say "Hunter" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 18 2023 ✅ 6.00 0.00 0.00 6.00 Trades
Will Putin be reelected? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 07 2024 ✅ 5.87 0.00 0.00 5.87 Trades
US response to Iran’s drone attack by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 10.70 0.00% 0.4600 0.00 1.00 0.00 10.70 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -4.92 0.00 0.00 5.78 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 45.00 0.00% 0.8733 0.00 1.00 0.00 45.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ -39.30 0.00 0.00 5.70 Trades
Trump contempt of court by September 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 ✅ 5.52 0.00 0.00 5.52 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 20 2023 ✅ 5.31 0.00 0.00 5.31 Trades
Will Trump visit Israel by Nov 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 15 2023 ✅ 5.31 0.00 0.00 5.31 Trades
Israel or Palestine responsible for Gaza hospital explosion? Israel Palestine 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 20 2023 ✅ 5.22 0.00 0.00 5.22 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by December 31? Yes No 10.00 0.00 0.00% 0.5350 1.00 0.00 10.00 0.00 Sat Dec 30 2023 ✅ -5.35 0.00 0.00 4.65 Trades
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $55 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 9.62 0.00% 0.5200 0.00 1.00 0.00 9.62 Sun Nov 12 2023 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 4.62 Trades
Will Trump violate bail by September 30? Yes No 0.00 13.70 0.00% 0.6643 0.00 1.00 0.00 13.70 Sat Sep 30 2023 ✅ -9.10 0.00 0.00 4.60 Trades
GTA 6 trailer released by Dec 7? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 07 2023 ✅ 4.20 0.00 0.00 4.20 Trades
American aid to Israel by Nov 15? Yes No 0.00 15.00 0.00% 0.7200 0.00 1.00 0.00 15.00 Wed Nov 15 2023 ✅ -10.80 0.00 0.00 4.20 Trades
Will Tesla deliver a Cybertruck in Q3? Yes No 6.96 0.00 0.00% -0.5560 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 19 2023 ✅ 3.87 0.00 0.00 3.87 Trades
Will Hezbollah officially join the war by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ 3.75 0.00 0.00 3.76 Trades
Will another state court disqualify Trump from ballot by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 3.67 0.00 0.00 3.67 Trades
Will WeWork announce bankruptcy by November 12? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 12 2023 ✅ 3.67 0.00 0.00 3.67 Trades
Will Haley beat DeSantis in Iowa? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 15 2024 ✅ 3.44 0.00 0.00 3.44 Trades
Will Kanye release ‘Vultures’ by Jan 12? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 12 2024 ✅ 3.38 0.00 0.00 3.38 Trades
Will a Korean team win LOL Worlds 2023? Yes No 8.33 0.00 0.00% 0.6000 1.00 0.00 8.33 0.00 Sun Nov 19 2023 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 3.33 Trades
Will 'Wonka' gross over $35m over its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 17 2023 ✅ 3.28 0.00 0.00 3.28 Trades
US military intervention by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ 3.03 0.00 0.00 3.03 Trades
Egypt accept >1k Gazan refugees by Nov 15? Yes No 0.00 7.94 0.00% 0.6300 0.00 1.00 0.00 7.94 Wed Nov 15 2023 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 2.94 Trades
Will U.S. Supreme Court vote to reinstate Trump on Colorado's 2024 ballot? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 ✅ 2.93 0.00 0.00 2.93 Trades
Will Trump win the 2024 Iowa Caucus? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 05 2024 ✅ 2.85 0.00 0.00 2.85 Trades
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 28 2024 ✅ 2.85 0.00 0.00 2.85 Trades
Will SOL outperform ETH in January? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 2.70 0.00 0.00 2.70 Trades
Will a candidate say something racist at the next Republican debate? Yes No 0.00 15.00 0.00% 0.8200 0.00 1.00 0.00 15.00 Wed Oct 04 2023 ✅ -12.30 0.00 0.00 2.70 Trades
Will X unban Alex Jones in 2023? Yes No 2.70 0.00 0.00% 0.0259 1.00 0.00 2.70 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.07 0.00 0.00 2.63 Trades
Musk vs. Zuck: Aug 31 Musk Zuck 84.28 0.00 0.49% 0.4700 0.50 0.50 42.14 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ -39.61 0.00 0.00 2.53 Trades
Will Biden mention aliens by August 31? Yes No 0.00 50.00 0.00% 0.9500 0.00 1.00 0.00 50.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ -47.50 0.00 0.00 2.50 Trades
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher) Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 2.49 0.00 0.00 2.49 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.18 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 2.45 0.00 0.00 2.45 Trades
Will DOJ charge Binance by Sep 30? Yes No 0.00 15.00 0.00% 0.8400 0.00 1.00 0.00 15.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 ✅ -12.60 0.00 0.00 2.40 Trades
ETH above $1,700 on Aug 25? Yes No 0.00 7.31 0.00% 0.6836 0.00 1.00 0.00 7.31 Fri Aug 25 2023 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 2.31 Trades
Will Fabiano win the FIDE Grand Swiss 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Nov 04 2023 ✅ 2.25 0.00 0.00 2.25 Trades
Tucker Carlson + Putin interview released by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 09 2024 ✅ 2.19 0.00 0.00 2.19 Trades
Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY? Yes No 0.00 17.16 0.00% 0.8742 0.00 1.00 0.00 17.16 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -15.00 0.00 0.00 2.16 Trades
Tucker Carlson + Putin interview over 300 million views on X in first 24 hours? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 09 2024 ✅ 2.12 0.00 0.00 2.12 Trades
Will Tom Emmer be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 12.06 0.00% 0.8290 0.00 1.00 0.00 12.06 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ -10.00 0.00 0.00 2.06 Trades
SpaceX Starship launch by March 15? Yes No 6.06 0.00 0.00% 0.6600 1.00 0.00 6.06 0.00 Fri Mar 15 2024 ✅ -4.00 0.00 0.00 2.06 Trades
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 2.04 0.00 0.00 2.04 Trades
Biden drop out of presidential race in 2023? Yes No 5.00 0.00 0.00% -0.4000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 2.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 Trades
Will Trump be Speaker by Mar 1? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Fri Mar 01 2024 ✅ 1.99 0.00 0.00 2.00 Trades
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 15? Yes No 0.00 6.94 0.00% 0.7200 0.00 1.00 0.00 6.94 Wed Nov 15 2023 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 1.94 Trades
Will Zelensky visit Israel by Nov 10? Yes No 0.00 6.94 0.00% 0.7200 0.00 1.00 0.00 6.94 Fri Nov 10 2023 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 1.94 Trades
Super Bowl: Taylor Swift shown more than 5 times? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 11 2024 ✅ 1.82 0.00 0.00 1.82 Trades
SBF sentenced to 50+ years? Yes No 0.00 7.72 0.00% 0.7771 0.00 1.00 0.00 7.72 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ -6.00 0.00 0.00 1.72 Trades
Will Trump tweet again by Aug 31? Yes No 0.00 15.00 0.00% 0.8900 0.00 1.00 0.00 15.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ -13.35 0.00 0.00 1.65 Trades
Will Niger's coup trigger military intervention? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 14 2023 ✅ 1.52 0.00 0.00 1.53 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 02 2023 ✅ 1.50 0.00 0.00 1.50 Trades
ETH above $2,000 at end of August? Yes No 0.00 11.49 0.00% 0.8700 0.00 1.00 0.00 11.49 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ -10.00 0.00 0.00 1.49 Trades
Will OpenAI launch a Web Search Product by March 31? Yes No 0.00 10.70 0.00% 0.8676 0.00 1.00 0.00 10.70 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -9.28 0.00 0.00 1.42 Trades
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 ✅ 1.41 0.00 0.00 1.41 Trades
USDC market cap over $25 billion EOY? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 1.38 0.00 0.00 1.38 Trades
Will Kanye release ‘Vultures’ in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 1.32 0.00 0.00 1.32 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? Yes No 0.15 0.00 25.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 1.27 0.00 0.00 1.27 Trades
Trump heavier than 260 lbs? Yes No 0.00 6.17 0.00% 0.8100 0.00 1.00 0.00 6.17 Fri Sep 01 2023 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 1.17 Trades
Will Hilary hit US as a hurricane? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 25 2023 ✅ 1.09 0.00 0.00 1.09 Trades
Will Linda Yaccarino remain CEO of X through 2023? Yes No 16.06 0.00 0.00% 0.9340 1.00 0.00 16.06 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -15.00 0.00 0.00 1.06 Trades
Will Hikaru win the FIDE Grand Swiss 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Nov 04 2023 ✅ 1.05 0.00 0.00 1.05 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? Yes No 6.02 0.00 0.00% 0.8300 1.00 0.00 6.02 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 1.02 Trades
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days? Yes No 6.02 0.00 0.00% 0.8300 1.00 0.00 6.02 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 1.02 Trades
Will Trump attend the second RNC debate? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Wed Sep 27 2023 ✅ 1.01 0.00 0.00 1.02 Trades
Will Ye say something antisemitic before February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 0.94 0.00 0.00 0.94 Trades
Kanye digital release of 'Vultures' Vol. 2 by Friday? Yes No 0.00 7.93 0.00% 0.8824 0.00 1.00 0.00 7.93 Fri Mar 15 2024 ✅ -7.00 0.00 0.00 0.93 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on October 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 01 2023 ✅ 0.88 0.00 0.00 0.88 Trades
Will Twitter announce bankruptcy in 2023? Yes No 0.00 15.79 0.00% 0.9500 0.00 1.00 0.00 15.79 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -15.00 0.00 0.00 0.79 Trades
Will BTC or ETH reach all-time high first? BTC ETH 1.79 0.00 0.00% 0.5600 1.00 0.00 1.79 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.79 Trades
Binance insolvent in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 0.78 0.00 0.00 0.78 Trades
Will Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 ✅ 0.76 0.00 0.00 0.77 Trades
Will Musk fight Zuck in 2023? Yes No 0.00 10.75 0.00% 0.9299 0.00 1.00 0.00 10.75 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -10.00 0.00 0.00 0.75 Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 0.75 0.00 0.00 0.75 Trades
Will X start charging all users? Yes No 0.00 15.00 0.00% 0.9500 0.00 1.00 0.00 15.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -14.25 0.00 0.00 0.75 Trades
NVIDIA flips Apple in market cap by April 30? Yes No 0.00 6.74 0.00% 0.8900 0.00 1.00 0.00 6.74 Tue Apr 30 2024 ✅ -6.00 0.00 0.00 0.74 Trades
Bitcoin all time high by next Friday? Yes No 1.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 Fri Mar 08 2024 ✅ -0.26 0.00 0.00 0.74 Trades
Bitcoin all time high today? Yes No 0.00 4.65 0.00% 0.8600 0.00 1.00 0.00 4.65 Mon Mar 04 2024 ✅ -4.00 0.00 0.00 0.65 Trades
Kanye "Carnival" #1 Billboard Hot 100 this week? Yes No 0.00 6.64 0.00% 0.9039 0.00 1.00 0.00 6.64 Sat Mar 09 2024 ✅ -6.00 0.00 0.00 0.64 Trades
Will BTC hit $40,000 by Halloween? Yes No 0.00 5.62 0.00% 0.8900 0.00 1.00 0.00 5.62 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 0.62 Trades
Julian Assange extradited to US before April? Yes No 0.00 5.62 0.00% 0.8900 0.00 1.00 0.00 5.62 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 0.62 Trades
Will any major Iranian oil refinery be taken out by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 10.58 0.00% 0.9450 0.00 1.00 0.00 10.58 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -10.00 0.00 0.00 0.58 Trades
Will Ether Rock sell for over $600k at Sotheby’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 0.58 0.00 0.00 0.58 Trades
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 0.57 0.00 0.00 0.57 Trades
Will the WGA strike end by September 1? Yes No 0.00 5.56 0.00% 0.9000 0.00 1.00 0.00 5.56 Fri Sep 01 2023 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 0.56 Trades
Musk drops OpenAI case in March? Yes No 0.00 5.56 0.00% 0.9000 0.00 1.00 0.00 5.56 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 0.56 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by January 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 0.53 0.00 0.00 0.54 Trades
Will Bitboy remarry by EOY? Yes No 0.00 10.53 0.00% 0.9500 0.00 1.00 0.00 10.53 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -10.00 0.00 0.00 0.53 Trades
American aid to Israel by Dec 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.50 Trades
Will Swift + Kelce break up by end of NFL season? Yes No 0.00 5.49 0.00% 0.9100 0.00 1.00 0.00 5.49 Sun Jan 07 2024 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 0.49 Trades
Musk vs. Zuck Musk Zuck 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 01 2024 ✅ 0.49 0.00 0.00 0.49 Trades
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 15 2024 ✅ 0.48 0.00 0.00 0.48 Trades
Will Joe Biden be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 10.47 0.00% 0.9550 0.00 1.00 0.00 10.47 Sat Jan 14 2023 ✅ -10.00 0.00 0.00 0.47 Trades
Will Ian Miles Cheong be arrested in February? Yes No 0.00 6.45 0.00% 0.9300 0.00 1.00 0.00 6.45 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -6.00 0.00 0.00 0.45 Trades
ETH above $2,000 at end of September? Yes No 0.00 15.00 0.00% 0.9700 0.00 1.00 0.00 15.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 ✅ -14.55 0.00 0.00 0.45 Trades
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 15.00 0.00% 0.9700 0.00 1.00 0.00 15.00 Sat Jan 14 2023 ✅ -14.55 0.00 0.00 0.45 Trades
Trump >50% chance of winning nomination after Super Tuesday? Yes No 3.45 0.00 0.00% 0.8700 1.00 0.00 3.45 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 ✅ -3.00 0.00 0.00 0.45 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship lift 500m from pad by Nov 19? Yes No 2.44 0.00 0.00% 0.8200 1.00 0.00 2.44 0.00 Sun Nov 19 2023 ✅ -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.44 Trades
Will Matt Gaetz be expelled from Congress before May? Yes No 0.00 5.43 0.00% 0.9200 0.00 1.00 0.00 5.43 Tue Apr 30 2024 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 0.43 Trades
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 1.39 0.00% 0.7200 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.39 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.39 Trades
LayerZero airdrop in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 0.37 0.00 0.00 0.38 Trades
Will Zelensky remain President of Ukraine through March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ 0.38 0.00 0.00 0.38 Trades
Will Israel invade Lebanon before March? Yes No 0.00 2.88 0.00% 0.8800 0.00 1.00 0.00 2.88 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -2.53 0.00 0.00 0.35 Trades
Guatemala Presidential Election: Will Bernardo Arévalo win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 25 2023 ✅ 0.33 0.00 0.00 0.33 Trades
Will Elon Musk visit Gaza in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 0.26 0.00 0.00 0.27 Trades
Ukraine aid package in February? Yes No 0.00 2.34 0.00% 0.8903 0.00 1.00 0.00 2.34 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -2.08 0.00 0.00 0.26 Trades
Will Biden trip on a staircase again this week? Yes No 0.00 4.62 0.00% 0.9500 0.00 1.00 0.00 4.62 Sun Feb 25 2024 ✅ -4.39 0.00 0.00 0.23 Trades
Will Sam Altman raise >$1 trillion in Q1 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.21 Trades
Will the Epstein documents name Elon Musk? Yes No 0.00 1.19 0.00% 0.8410 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.19 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.19 Trades
Alien contact in 2023? Yes No 0.00 15.00 0.00% 0.9880 0.00 1.00 0.00 15.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -14.82 0.00 0.00 0.18 Trades
NYT drop OpenAI case by March? Yes No 0.00 2.22 0.00% 0.9196 0.00 1.00 0.00 2.22 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -2.04 0.00 0.00 0.18 Trades
Will Hamas surrender in 2023? Yes No 0.00 5.18 0.00% 0.9660 0.00 1.00 0.00 5.18 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 0.18 Trades
Will weed be rescheduled in 2023? Yes No 0.00 5.15 0.00% 0.9700 0.00 1.00 0.00 5.15 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 0.15 Trades
Will Elon Musk be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 5.15 0.00% 0.9700 0.00 1.00 0.00 5.15 Sat Jan 14 2023 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 0.15 Trades
Kung Fu Panda 4 over $36m opening weekend? Yes No 1.15 0.00 0.00% 0.8700 1.00 0.00 1.15 0.00 Mon Mar 11 2024 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.15 Trades
Will Trump say a racial slur before February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 0.12 0.00 0.00 0.13 Trades
Will Trump appear on Colorado primary ballot? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 ✅ 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.11 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.10 Trades
All 3 University Presidents who testified on antisemitism out by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.10 Trades
Vanguard allows Bitcoin purchases before April? Yes No 0.00 2.02 0.00% 0.9600 0.00 1.00 0.00 2.02 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -1.94 0.00 0.00 0.08 Trades
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? Yes No 15.01 0.00 16.66% -0.0035 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.05 Trades
SBF reduced sentence because autism? Yes No 0.00 2.04 0.00% 0.9800 0.00 1.00 0.00 2.04 Thu Mar 28 2024 ✅ -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 Trades
Will another plane's cabin door blow off in January? Yes No 0.00 1.02 0.00% 0.9800 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.02 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 Trades
OpenAI Sora public release before May? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 ✅ -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will MrBeast hit 250 Million subscribers by Dec 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by March 31? Yes No 0.00 14.29 0.00% 0.0070 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Kanye "Carnival" #1 Billboard week of Mar 23? Yes No 50.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0020 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 19 2024 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Guatemala Presidential Election: Will Sandra Torres win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 25 2023 ✅ -0.11 0.00 0.00 -0.11 Trades
Will X remove likes + reposts counter in March? Yes No 1.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -0.12 0.00 0.00 -0.12 Trades
Will Tucker interview Putin? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.25 Trades
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.28 0.00 0.00 -0.28 Trades
SOL/ETH new high by Jan 31? Yes No 1.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -0.29 0.00 0.00 -0.29 Trades
Will Netanyahu still be Prime Minister of Israel by the end of 2023? Yes No 4.17 0.00 0.00% 1.0800 1.00 0.00 4.17 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -4.50 0.00 0.00 -0.33 Trades
Will the Epstein documents name Jimmy Kimmel? Yes No 30.32 0.00 0.00% 0.0158 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -0.48 0.00 0.00 -0.48 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 12.50 0.00% 0.0400 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.50 0.00 0.00 -0.50 Trades
Houthis strike U.S. military by end of January? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -0.57 0.00 0.00 -0.57 Trades
Liz Magill still UPenn President by end of 2023? Yes No 2.03 0.00 0.00% 0.3200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 ✅ -0.65 0.00 0.00 -0.65 Trades
Will Mbappé leave PSG? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.50% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 ✅ -0.65 0.00 0.00 -0.65 Trades
Will Biden be impeached by December 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.87 0.00 0.00 -0.87 Trades
Gemini Ultra released by Jan 31? Yes No 1.43 0.00 0.00% 0.6500 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -0.93 0.00 0.00 -0.93 Trades
Will Trump win every state in Republican Nomination? Yes No 1.39 0.00 0.00% 0.7200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 25 2024 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win? Yes No 0.00 1.54 0.00% 0.6500 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 21 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will Cruise relaunch driverless taxis in SF by EoY? Yes No 4.76 0.00 0.00% 0.2100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Tiktok banned in the US in 2023? Yes No 32.26 0.00 0.00% 0.0310 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will SpaceX's 3rd Starship go higher than its prior launch before April? Yes No 0.00 3.03 0.00% 0.3300 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Epstein documents unsealed by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 2.22 0.00% 0.4500 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will the Epstein documents name Bill Gates? Yes No 1.47 0.00 0.00% 0.6800 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will the Epstein documents name any sitting US congressman? Yes No 1.59 0.00 0.00% 0.6300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will BTC hit $50,000 by Jan 31? Yes No 1.64 0.00 0.00% 0.6100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Paramount merger/acquisition in Q1? Yes No 1.85 0.00 0.00% 0.5400 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Any Hamas leader out in January? Yes No 1.61 0.00 0.00% 0.6200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will OpenAI release GPT-4.5 before April? Yes No 2.56 0.00 0.00% 0.3900 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Taylor Swift Super Bowl Parlay Yes No 3.33 0.00 0.00% 0.3000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 11 2024 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
US Congress approve more Ukraine aid in 2023? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1.23 0.00 0.00 -1.23 Trades
Kanye "Carnival" #1 Billboard Hot 100 next week? Yes No 4.66 0.00 0.00% 1.3063 1.00 0.00 4.66 0.00 Tue Mar 12 2024 ✅ -6.08 0.00 0.00 -1.43 Trades
Will the vote to oust McCarthy have a margin of 51-100? Yes No 15.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 30 2023 ✅ -1.50 0.00 0.00 -1.50 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29? Yes No 0.00 6.57 0.00% 1.2794 0.00 1.00 0.00 6.57 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -8.40 0.00 0.00 -1.83 Trades
Will Vivek drop out of presidential race before February? Yes No 0.00 5.14 0.00% 0.3890 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will BTC hit $60,000 in February? Yes No 0.00 2.60 0.00% 0.7700 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will Israel start flooding Hamas tunnels by December 15? Yes No 0.00 3.03 0.00% 0.6600 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 15 2023 ✅ -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will Kanye release ‘Vultures’ Vol. 1 by Feb 9? Yes No 0.00 5.69 0.00% 0.3512 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 09 2024 ✅ -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will Kanye release ‘Vultures’ by Friday? Yes No 11.12 0.00 0.00% 0.2141 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 15 2023 ✅ -2.38 0.00 0.00 -2.38 Trades
FIDE World Cup Final: Magnus vs. Pragg Magnus Pragg 0.00 11.11 0.00% 0.2700 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 24 2023 ✅ -3.00 0.00 0.00 -3.00 Trades
Will Adam Schiff advance from the 2024 CA Senate Primary? Yes No 0.00 6.67 0.00% 0.4500 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 ✅ -3.00 0.00 0.00 -3.00 Trades
Will Kevin McCarthy resign from the House in 2023? Yes No 0.00 5.66 0.00% 0.5300 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -3.00 0.00 0.00 -3.00 Trades
Will Trump receive a gag order by October 15? Yes No 0.00 15.00 0.00% 0.2000 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 15 2023 ✅ -3.00 0.00 0.00 -3.00 Trades
Will Biden declassify Russia security threat by Friday? Yes No 0.00 3.75 0.00% 0.8000 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 16 2024 ✅ -3.00 0.00 0.00 -3.00 Trades
Will Trump be indicted twice more by August 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ -3.02 0.00 0.00 -3.02 Trades
Will Barbenheimer overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens? Yes No 0.00 0.06 50.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 16 2023 ✅ -3.51 0.00 0.00 -3.51 Trades
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -3.54 0.00 0.00 -3.54 Trades
Fuel shipments to Gaza by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 15.00 0.00% 0.2500 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -3.75 0.00 0.00 -3.75 Trades
Will BTC hit $55,000 in February? Yes No 0.00 5.96 0.00% 0.7695 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -4.59 0.00 0.00 -4.59 Trades
SBF jail by August 31? Yes No 0.00 5.15 0.00% 0.9700 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 23? Yes No 0.00 5.61 0.00% 0.8919 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Mar 23 2024 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 7.58 0.00% 0.6600 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Will Nikki Haley win any state on Super Tuesday? Yes No 0.00 6.02 0.00% 0.8300 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
SBF guilty of all charges? Yes No 0.00 10.64 0.00% 0.4700 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023? Yes No 0.00 7.14 0.00% 0.7000 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 12.20 0.00 0.00% 0.4100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 14 2023 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 7.35 0.00% 0.6800 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 38.0% or higher on December 12? Yes No 0.00 8.20 0.00% 0.6100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 13 2023 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Kate Middleton video appearance in March? Yes No 0.00 8.49 0.00% 0.6144 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -5.21 0.00 0.00 -5.21 Trades
Will Taylor Swift be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 6.26 0.00% 0.8400 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 14 2023 ✅ -5.26 0.00 0.00 -5.26 Trades
Will Trump receive a gag order Before April? Yes No 0.00 10.00 0.00% 0.6000 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -6.00 0.00 0.00 -6.00 Trades
BTC above $70,000 next friday? Yes No 0.00 7.14 0.00% 0.8400 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 15 2024 ✅ -6.00 0.00 0.00 -6.00 Trades
Will Google announce 1000+ new layoffs before February? Yes No 0.00 8.89 0.00% 0.7240 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -6.44 0.00 0.00 -6.44 Trades
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? Yes No 0.00 7.70 0.00% 0.9089 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 31 2024 ✅ -7.00 0.00 0.00 -7.00 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in South Gaza by Dec 8? Yes No 0.00 9.90 0.00% 0.7068 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 08 2023 ✅ -7.00 0.00 0.00 -7.00 Trades
Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 23.13 0.00% 0.3027 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -7.00 0.00 0.00 -7.00 Trades
Will BTC hit $50,000 in 2023? Yes No 0.00 8.87 0.00% 0.7936 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -7.04 0.00 0.00 -7.04 Trades
2023 FIDE World Cup: Will Hikaru Nakamura win top 3? Yes No 18.24 0.00 100.00% 0.4000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 23 2023 ✅ -7.30 0.00 0.00 -7.30 Trades
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in August? Yes No 0.00 15.00 0.00% 0.5500 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ -8.25 0.00 0.00 -8.25 Trades
Will Taylor Swift attend the next Chiefs home game? Yes No 0.00 15.00 0.00% 0.6500 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 12 2023 ✅ -9.75 0.00 0.00 -9.75 Trades
Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker? Yes No 128.31 0.00 0.00% 0.0943 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ -12.09 0.00 0.00 -12.09 Trades
Congress passes bill banning TikTok by Apr 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 ✅ -13.75 0.00 0.00 -13.75 Trades
Will another 'Forbes 30 Under 30' be arrested in 2023? Yes No 0.00 16.86 0.00% 0.8720 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -14.70 0.00 0.00 -14.70 Trades
Will 'Barbie' gross over $35m over August 11-13? Yes No 40.18 0.00 0.00% 0.3733 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 13 2023 ✅ -15.00 0.00 0.00 -15.00 Trades
2023 FIDE World Cup: Will Fabiano Caruana win top 3? Yes No 0.00 31.09 0.00% 0.5629 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 23 2023 ✅ -17.50 0.00 0.00 -17.50 Trades
Will MrBeast Hit 200 Million Subscribers by Thanksgiving? Yes No 28.00 0.00 0.00% 1.8091 1.00 0.00 28.00 0.00 Thu Nov 23 2023 ✅ -50.65 0.00 0.00 -22.65 Trades
Will MrBeast Hit 200 Million Subscribers by Halloween? Yes No 90.00 0.00 0.00% 1.3340 1.00 0.00 90.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ -120.06 0.00 0.00 -30.06 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by September 30? Yes No 45.00 0.00 0.00% 0.7234 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 29 2023 ✅ -32.55 0.00 0.00 -32.55 Trades
Resolved 235.66 644.58 -159.65 0.00 0.00 720.59
Unresolved 42.47 267.17 -379.87 0.00 0.00 -70.23
Total 278.14 911.75 -539.53 0.00 0.00 650.36