Fed rate cut by June 12? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,301.61
|
0.00% |
|
-1.9686
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 12 2024
|
|
4,530.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4,530.98
|
Trades
|
Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by June? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
70.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
70.00
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.04 |
0.96 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
69.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
69.16
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
2,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8475
|
|
0.87 |
0.13 |
1,746.47
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-1,695.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
51.47
|
Trades
|
Will Trump and Biden debate before presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-18.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-18.37
|
Trades
|
Trump jail before election day? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-51.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-51.00
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by November 7? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
255.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.3408
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 07 2024
|
|
-86.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-86.90
|
Trades
|
Ayatollah Khamenei still in power in Iran by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
205.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8585
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-176.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-176.00
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,500.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.1500
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 31 2024
|
|
-375.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-375.00
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by December 18? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,300.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.3243
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 18 2024
|
|
-746.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-746.00
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3,700.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.5803
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-2,147.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2,147.00
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10,448.61
|
0.00% |
|
0.4048
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 01 2025
|
|
-4,229.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4,229.70
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by September 18? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
11,706.64
|
0.00% |
|
0.5505
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 18 2024
|
|
-6,444.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6,444.69
|
Trades
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2024 election? |
Democrats |
Republicans |
0.00
|
9,351.36
|
0.00% |
|
0.7367
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-6,888.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6,888.96
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by May 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
✅ |
9,018.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9,018.08
|
Trades
|
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
5,601.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5,601.01
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by March 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 20 2024
|
✅ |
5,007.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5,007.89
|
Trades
|
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
3,534.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,534.69
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win Virginia Republican Primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
✅ |
1,684.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,684.05
|
Trades
|
US inflation >0.4% from Feb to March 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 12 2024
|
✅ |
1,482.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,482.00
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. Supreme Court vote to reinstate Trump on Colorado's 2024 ballot? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,000.01
|
0.00% |
|
-1.0031
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
✅ |
1,003.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,003.14
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win every state in Republican Nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 25 2024
|
✅ |
945.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
945.00
|
Trades
|
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
565.95
|
0.00% |
|
-0.5684
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
565.95
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
321.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
887.66
|
Trades
|
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by March 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
✅ |
784.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
784.60
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 have the hottest February on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.02
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.02
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
✅ |
124.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
124.60
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 have the hottest March on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
✅ |
121.72
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
121.72
|
Trades
|
Will Tucker Carlson interview Putin in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
96.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
96.40
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley endorse Trump in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,500.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9463
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,500.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-1,419.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
80.50
|
Trades
|
US Congress approve more Ukraine aid in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
77.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
77.50
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win the 2024 Iowa Caucus? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Feb 05 2024
|
✅ |
40.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
40.00
|
Trades
|
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
833.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9690
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
833.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-807.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
25.82
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.00
|
Trades
|
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 23 2024
|
✅ |
12.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.60
|
Trades
|
US inflation >0.2% from Nov to Dec 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jan 11 2024
|
✅ |
3.72
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.72
|
Trades
|
Will Google or NVIDIA be worth more on March 1? |
Google |
NVIDIA |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
✅ |
-13.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-13.49
|
Trades
|
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Monday? |
Yes |
No |
895.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0241
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
✅ |
-21.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-21.56
|
Trades
|
Will Mitch McConnell endorse Trump before Super Tuesday? |
Yes |
No |
1,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0250
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
✅ |
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-25.00
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-30.00
|
Trades
|
Ukraine aid package by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-131.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-131.50
|
Trades
|
Claudine Gay out as Harvard President by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.6600
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 15 2024
|
✅ |
-132.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-132.00
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Feb 24 2024
|
✅ |
-150.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-150.00
|
Trades
|
Ukraine aid package in February? |
Yes |
No |
3,688.09
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0437
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-161.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-161.28
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley or Ron DeSantis drop out first? |
Haley |
DeSantis |
3,400.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2209
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
✅ |
-751.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-751.00
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.02
|
2,898.95
|
|
|
26,236.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
29,135.15
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1,746.47
|
0.00
|
|
|
-18,188.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-16,442.01
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1,746.49
|
2,898.95
|
|
|
8,047.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12,693.13
|
|