Polymarket Whales

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Market Outcome 0 Outcome 1 Shares 0 Shares 1 LP Share Avg Price 0 Avg Price 1 Cur Price 0 Cur Price 1 Value 0 Value 1 End Date Resolved Collateral Fees Collected Withdrawable Fees Net
Unknown 0 1 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 22 2024 156.00 0.00 0.00 156.00 Trades
Russian nuke in space in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 68.93 0.00 0.00 68.93 Trades
Trump jail before election day? Yes No 0.00 1.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 9.14 0.00 0.00 9.14 Trades
Trump $83.3m verdict reduced on appeal? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 2.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 Trades
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.53 0.00 0.00% 0.87 0.13 0.47 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 -0.96 0.00 0.00 -0.49 Trades
Bryan Johnson's functional sperm above 20.0 M/ejac on next test? Yes No 0.00 466.00 0.00% 0.0150 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 01 2024 -6.99 0.00 0.00 -6.99 Trades
George Santos wins NY-1 Republican Primary? Yes No 198.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0990 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 25 2024 -19.60 0.00 0.00 -19.60 Trades
Will weed be rescheduled in 2024? Yes No 1.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -68.07 0.00 0.00 -68.07 Trades
Will Mbappé sign for Real Madrid? Yes No 280.80 0.00 0.00% 0.9255 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 01 2024 -259.87 0.00 0.00 -259.87 Trades
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election? Yes No 1,968.24 0.00 0.00% 0.2142 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -421.59 0.00 0.00 -421.59 Trades
Will PVV win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 22 2023 ✅ 11,478.70 0.00 0.00 11,478.70 Trades
Will Man City win the Premier League? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 19 2024 ✅ 4,213.89 0.00 0.00 4,213.89 Trades
Will Saudi Arabia accept invitation to join BRICS? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 01 2024 ✅ 3,801.55 0.00 0.00 3,801.55 Trades
George Santos expelled in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 3,098.40 0.00 0.00 3,098.40 Trades
Will Nikki Haley win any state on Super Tuesday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 ✅ 2,461.19 0.00 0.00 2,461.19 Trades
Will Taylor Swift be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 14 2023 ✅ 2,456.31 0.00 0.00 2,456.31 Trades
2023-24 Detroit Pistons worst NBA team of all time? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 14 2024 ✅ 2,454.90 0.00 0.00 2,454.90 Trades
Do Kwon extradited before March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 2,267.16 0.00 0.00 2,267.16 Trades
Detroit Pistons longest single-season losing streak in NBA history (>26 games)? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 26 2023 ✅ 2,072.95 0.00 0.00 2,072.95 Trades
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ 1,685.85 0.00 0.00 1,685.85 Trades
Dave Calhoun out as Boeing CEO before May? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 ✅ 1,530.50 0.00 0.00 1,530.50 Trades
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 1,469.20 0.00 0.00 1,469.20 Trades
Will the WGA strike end by September 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 ✅ 1,441.93 0.00 0.00 1,441.93 Trades
Will "Israel" be said 15 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 ✅ 1,389.23 0.00 0.00 1,389.23 Trades
Boeing Max 9 cleared to fly by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 12 2024 ✅ 1,368.30 0.00 0.00 1,368.30 Trades
Will Progresívne Slovensko win over 18% of votes? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 29 2023 ✅ 1,211.06 0.00 0.00 1,211.06 Trades
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 1,205.67 0.00 0.00 1,205.67 Trades
Will Drake's album drop by 10/6? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 06 2023 ✅ 1,080.00 0.00 0.00 1,080.00 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ 1,065.71 0.00 0.00 1,065.71 Trades
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Feb 24 2024 ✅ 1,010.00 0.00 0.00 1,010.00 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 02 2023 ✅ 984.11 0.00 0.00 984.11 Trades
Will Biden say "Navalny" during his State of the Union address? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 ✅ 983.33 0.00 0.00 983.33 Trades
Will "Ukraine" be said 10 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 ✅ 968.70 0.00 0.00 968.70 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship lift 500m from pad by Nov 19? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 19 2023 ✅ 846.83 0.00 0.00 846.83 Trades
Will Kanye release ‘Vultures’ Vol. 1 by Feb 9? Yes No 0.05 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.05 0.00 Fri Feb 09 2024 ✅ 807.65 0.00 0.00 807.70 Trades
Will Haley beat DeSantis in Iowa? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 15 2024 ✅ 750.00 0.00 0.00 750.00 Trades
Will anyone say "alien" in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 ✅ 738.83 0.00 0.00 738.83 Trades
Will Biden say "border" three or more times during his State of the Union address? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 ✅ 708.73 0.00 0.00 708.73 Trades
Congress passes bill banning TikTok by Apr 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 ✅ 682.10 0.00 0.00 682.10 Trades
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 30 2023 ✅ 667.16 0.00 0.00 667.16 Trades
Any hostage deal brokered with Hamas by Nov 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 ✅ 601.85 0.00 0.00 601.85 Trades
Will Trump win the 2024 Iowa Caucus? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 05 2024 ✅ 592.84 0.00 0.00 592.84 Trades
Ansem vs. trading_axe - Most Liked Post Today Ansem Axe 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 ✅ 568.75 0.00 0.00 568.75 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 500.38 0.00 0.00 500.38 Trades
Will the Epstein documents name Donald Trump? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 473.09 0.00 0.00 473.09 Trades
Will Biden say "Trump" during his State of the Union address? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 ✅ 468.49 0.00 0.00 468.49 Trades
Will the vote to oust McCarthy have a margin of 15-50? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 30 2023 ✅ 453.05 0.00 0.00 453.05 Trades
Will Kevin McCarthy remain Speaker through EoY? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 448.00 0.00 0.00 448.00 Trades
Will the vote to oust McCarthy have a margin of less than 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 30 2023 ✅ 429.95 0.00 0.00 429.95 Trades
Will Biden say "folks" four or more times during his State of the Union address? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 ✅ 423.59 0.00 0.00 423.59 Trades
Will Trump be disqualified from California's primary ballot? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 ✅ 408.85 0.00 0.00 408.85 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 408.55 0.00 0.00 408.55 Trades
Will anyone say "George Santos" in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 ✅ 397.27 0.00 0.00 397.27 Trades
Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 387.59 0.00 0.00 387.59 Trades
Will "terrorist" be said 10 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 ✅ 387.42 0.00 0.00 387.42 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 19 2023 ✅ 376.49 0.00 0.00 376.49 Trades
Will "ceasefire" be said 5 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 ✅ 371.14 0.00 0.00 371.14 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 9? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Mar 09 2024 ✅ 356.05 0.00 0.00 356.05 Trades
Will Trump win every state in Republican Nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 25 2024 ✅ 343.82 0.00 0.00 343.82 Trades
Will "Israel" be said 10 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 ✅ 340.94 0.00 0.00 340.94 Trades
Will Iran officially join the war in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 305.53 0.00 0.00 305.53 Trades
Will the Epstein documents name Prince Andrew? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 282.31 0.00 0.00 282.31 Trades
Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 276.20 0.00 0.00 276.20 Trades
Will "Trump" be said by every candidate in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 ✅ 272.62 0.00 0.00 272.62 Trades
Will "Putin" be said by every candidate in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 ✅ 269.35 0.00 0.00 269.35 Trades
Will Patrick McHenry be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ 232.70 0.00 0.00 232.70 Trades
Will "terrorist" be said 10 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 ✅ 227.77 0.00 0.00 227.77 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by March 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ 153.63 0.00 0.00 153.63 Trades
Will Google have the best LLM before 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 129.00 0.00 0.00 129.00 Trades
Will Kevin McCarthy remain Speaker through Oct 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 15 2023 ✅ 107.47 0.00 0.00 107.47 Trades
Will Biden say "fentanyl" during his State of the Union address? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 ✅ 71.26 0.00 0.00 71.26 Trades
Will "ceasefire" be said 5 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 ✅ 70.00 0.00 0.00 70.00 Trades
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ 67.50 0.00 0.00 67.50 Trades
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $45 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 12 2023 ✅ 62.50 0.00 0.00 62.50 Trades
Will Biden or Haley drop out first? Biden Haley 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 ✅ 50.00 0.00 0.00 50.00 Trades
Did the Alaska balloon come from China? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Fri Mar 15 2024 ✅ 39.34 0.00 0.00 39.34 Trades
Will there be 21+ named storms during the Atlantic Hurricane Season? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ 36.85 0.00 0.00 36.85 Trades
Will "Ukraine" be said 8 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 ✅ 30.75 0.00 0.00 30.75 Trades
Fuel shipments to Gaza by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ 29.83 0.00 0.00 29.83 Trades
NY-3 Special Election: Will Suozzi (D) win by over 5%? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 13 2024 ✅ 25.00 0.00 0.00 25.00 Trades
Will the US publicly state that Iran was directly involved with the recent attack on Israel in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 24.75 0.00 0.00 24.75 Trades
Respiratory illness surge in China declared a global pandemic by Feb 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 01 2024 ✅ 24.71 0.00 0.00 24.71 Trades
OpenAI permanent CEO by Dec 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 22.00 0.00 0.00 22.00 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by December 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 30 2023 ✅ 21.44 0.00 0.00 21.44 Trades
Will the Epstein documents name Bill Clinton? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 19.55 0.00 0.00 19.55 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 23? Yes No 0.00 1,981.02 0.00% -0.0098 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Mar 23 2024 ✅ 19.50 0.00 0.00 19.50 Trades
Will Netanyahu still be Prime Minister of Israel by the end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 13.35 0.00 0.00 13.35 Trades
Will "Biden" be said by every candidate in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 ✅ 11.75 0.00 0.00 11.75 Trades
Kate Middleton video appearance in March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ 7.00 0.00 0.00 7.00 Trades
OpenAI renamed to ClosedAI in March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ 5.74 0.00 0.00 5.74 Trades
Will Salah join a Saudi club next transfer window? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 5.26 0.00 0.00 5.26 Trades
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 ✅ 5.00 0.00 0.00 5.00 Trades
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by March 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 30 2023 ✅ 2.40 0.00 0.00 2.40 Trades
Kanye "Carnival" #1 Billboard Hot 100 next week? Yes No 0.06 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.06 0.00 Tue Mar 12 2024 ✅ 1.59 0.00 0.00 1.64 Trades
American aid to Israel by Dec 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 1.60 0.00 0.00 1.60 Trades
Odie successfully lands on the moon by Thursday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 22 2024 ✅ 0.96 0.00 0.00 0.96 Trades
Will 'The Inventor' gross over $8m opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 17 2023 ✅ 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 Trades
Will Pope Francis remain Pope through 2023? Yes No 0.00 295.30 0.00% 0.0150 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -4.43 0.00 0.00 -4.43 Trades
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -5.22 0.00 0.00 -5.22 Trades
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win? Yes No 0.00 0.08 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 21 2023 ✅ -8.98 0.00 0.00 -8.98 Trades
Haaland vs. Chelsea: who will have more goals on Oct 8? Haaland Chelsea 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 08 2023 ✅ -13.99 0.00 0.00 -13.99 Trades
Will Manchester United make it out of their group? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 12 2023 ✅ -19.71 0.00 0.00 -19.71 Trades
US bank failure in March? Yes No 95.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -20.90 0.00 0.00 -20.90 Trades
Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -21.78 0.00 0.00 -21.78 Trades
ETH above $4,000 next Friday? Yes No 40.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 15 2024 ✅ -24.00 0.00 0.00 -24.00 Trades
Will Odysseus Lander lose communication by Feb 27? Yes No 524.27 0.00 0.00% 0.0472 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 27 2024 ✅ -24.75 0.00 0.00 -24.75 Trades
Will Katie Porter advance from the 2024 CA Senate Primary? Yes No 200.75 0.00 0.00% 0.1300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 ✅ -26.10 0.00 0.00 -26.10 Trades
Liz Magill still UPenn President by end of 2023? Yes No 469.43 0.00 0.00% 0.0614 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 ✅ -28.84 0.00 0.00 -28.84 Trades
Will the first vote to oust McCarthy succeed? Yes No 0.00 91.67 0.00% 0.3800 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ -34.83 0.00 0.00 -34.83 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by January 31? Yes No 87.01 0.00 0.00% 0.4341 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -37.77 0.00 0.00 -37.77 Trades
Will any of the college presidents who testified on antisemitism leave by end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 500.00 0.00% 0.0900 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -45.00 0.00 0.00 -45.00 Trades
New mystery balloon shot down by Sunday? Yes No 250.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1800 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 25 2024 ✅ -45.00 0.00 0.00 -45.00 Trades
Will Newsom announce Feinstein's replacement by October 2? Yes No 0.00 1,000.00 0.00% 0.0500 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 02 2023 ✅ -50.00 0.00 0.00 -50.00 Trades
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -63.05 0.00 0.00 -63.05 Trades
BTC above $70,000 next friday? Yes No 129.79 0.00 0.00% 0.5736 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 15 2024 ✅ -74.45 0.00 0.00 -74.45 Trades
GTA 6 release date by end of year? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.4100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -82.00 0.00 0.00 -82.00 Trades
Will Ben Armstrong (Bitboy) cry? Yes No 600.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1580 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 23 2024 ✅ -94.78 0.00 0.00 -94.78 Trades
Will NSC win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election? Yes No 205.00 0.00 0.00% 0.5217 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 22 2023 ✅ -106.95 0.00 0.00 -106.95 Trades
Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker? Yes No 281.58 0.00 0.00% 0.3800 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ -107.00 0.00 0.00 -107.00 Trades
Will Javier Milei win by more than 5% in the 2023 Argentina Presidential election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Nov 18 2023 ✅ -125.12 0.00 0.00 -125.12 Trades
Will Hakeem Jeffries get the most votes in next vote for Speaker? Yes No 0.00 454.69 0.00% 0.2802 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -127.39 0.00 0.00 -127.39 Trades
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 17? Yes No 160.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9047 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 17 2023 ✅ -144.75 0.00 0.00 -144.75 Trades
US Congress approve more Ukraine aid in 2023? Yes No 500.00 0.00 0.00% 0.3060 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -153.00 0.00 0.00 -153.00 Trades
American aid to Israel by Nov 30? Yes No 1,950.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0790 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -154.00 0.00 0.00 -154.00 Trades
Will Nikki Haley or Ron DeSantis drop out first? Haley DeSantis 10.00 0.00 0.00% 17.0300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 ✅ -170.30 0.00 0.00 -170.30 Trades
Will Biden trip on a staircase again this week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 25 2024 ✅ -171.85 0.00 0.00 -171.85 Trades
Will Gemini generate images of people again in February? Yes No 250.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8098 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -202.45 0.00 0.00 -202.45 Trades
SpaceX Starship launch by March 15? Yes No 0.00 521.99 0.00% 0.4598 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 15 2024 ✅ -239.99 0.00 0.00 -239.99 Trades
Hamas command center under al-Shifa Hospital? Yes No 0.00 383.74 0.00% 0.6278 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ -240.90 0.00 0.00 -240.90 Trades
Will Biden say "Moon" during his State of the Union address? Yes No 804.27 0.00 0.00% 0.3058 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 ✅ -245.97 0.00 0.00 -245.97 Trades
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before April? Yes No 225.68 0.00 0.00% 1.1081 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -250.08 0.00 0.00 -250.08 Trades
Will "Hamas" be said 15 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 831.88 0.00% 0.3139 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 ✅ -261.12 0.00 0.00 -261.12 Trades
Will Steve Scalise be the next Speaker? Yes No 455.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6862 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 29 2024 ✅ -312.20 0.00 0.00 -312.20 Trades
Will Maersk resume shipping through Red Sea by Jan 15? Yes No 1,482.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2158 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 15 2024 ✅ -319.86 0.00 0.00 -319.86 Trades
Will U.S. Supreme Court vote to reinstate Trump on Colorado's 2024 ballot? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 ✅ -339.87 0.00 0.00 -339.87 Trades
NY-3 Special Election for Santos seat: Suozzi (D) vs. Pilip (R) Suozzi Pilip 0.00 1,674.37 0.00% 0.2115 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 13 2024 ✅ -354.13 0.00 0.00 -354.13 Trades
Will NH be the first primary in 2024 Dem. nomination? Yes No 474.64 0.00 0.00% 0.7472 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 06 2024 ✅ -354.63 0.00 0.00 -354.63 Trades
Will PvdA-GL win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election? Yes No 2,323.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1527 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 22 2023 ✅ -354.78 0.00 0.00 -354.78 Trades
“All I want for Christmas is You” #1 on Billboard Hot 100 first week of 2024? Yes No 484.37 0.00 0.00% 0.7722 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 06 2024 ✅ -374.02 0.00 0.00 -374.02 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by December 31? Yes No 1,114.81 0.00 0.00% 0.3764 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -419.60 0.00 0.00 -419.60 Trades
Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -470.55 0.00 0.00 -470.55 Trades
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Hou Yu-ih win? Yes No 4,800.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1037 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 ✅ -498.00 0.00 0.00 -498.00 Trades
Will "Hamas" be said 10 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 1,098.22 0.00% 0.4865 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 ✅ -534.34 0.00 0.00 -534.34 Trades
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 15? Yes No 768.00 0.00 0.00% 0.7638 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 15 2023 ✅ -586.60 0.00 0.00 -586.60 Trades
Will "Israel" be said 20 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 1,253.11 0.00 0.00% 0.6499 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 ✅ -814.42 0.00 0.00 -814.42 Trades
Will Kanye release 'Vultures' Vol. 2 by March 8? Yes No 2,791.00 0.00 0.00% 0.3228 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 08 2024 ✅ -901.02 0.00 0.00 -901.02 Trades
Will SBF get Adderall in jail? Yes No 0.00 1,520.89 0.00% 0.6822 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 ✅ -1,037.60 0.00 0.00 -1,037.60 Trades
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 6,896.01 0.00 0.00% 0.2291 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 14 2023 ✅ -1,580.02 0.00 0.00 -1,580.02 Trades
Resolved 0.11 0.01 55,886.19 0.00 0.00 55,886.31
Unresolved 0.47 0.00 -541.01 0.00 0.00 -540.54
Total 0.57 0.01 55,345.18 0.00 0.00 55,345.77