Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2024 election? |
Democrats |
Republicans |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
1,382.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,382.36
|
Trades
|
Trump jail before election day? |
Yes |
No |
0.02
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
149.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
149.84
|
Trades
|
Will Republican VP nominee be a woman? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Will Argentina dollarize in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Joe Biden impeached before 2024 election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.00
|
Trades
|
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.00
|
Trades
|
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.00
|
Trades
|
Will Ethereum hit $15k in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.00
|
Trades
|
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.22
|
0.00% |
|
0.0700
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 22 2024
|
|
-0.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.16
|
Trades
|
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
5.33
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5400
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-2.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.88
|
Trades
|
Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? |
Yes |
No |
172.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0400
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 31 2024
|
|
-6.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.88
|
Trades
|
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 31 2024
|
|
-72.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-72.79
|
Trades
|
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine before July? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-177.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-177.01
|
Trades
|
Netanyahu out by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
1,800.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1100
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-198.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-198.00
|
Trades
|
Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by June? |
Yes |
No |
2,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1100
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-220.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-220.00
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by November 7? |
Yes |
No |
600.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8950
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 07 2024
|
|
-537.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-537.00
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 08 2024
|
|
-562.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-562.00
|
Trades
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.02
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.79 |
0.21 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-565.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-565.12
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by September 18? |
Yes |
No |
939.27
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8643
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 18 2024
|
|
-811.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-811.76
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by June 12? |
Yes |
No |
2,318.61
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4967
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 12 2024
|
|
-1,151.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,151.60
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-1,345.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,345.71
|
Trades
|
Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-1,385.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,385.77
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
3,090.33
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7392
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 31 2024
|
|
-2,284.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2,284.32
|
Trades
|
House control after 2024 election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
7,000.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.4400
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-3,080.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3,080.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win Vermont Republican Primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
13,308.48
|
0.00% |
|
0.4437
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
13,308.48
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
✅ |
-5,904.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7,403.72
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win every state in Republican Nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 25 2024
|
✅ |
6,978.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6,978.39
|
Trades
|
Congress passes bill banning TikTok by Apr 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
✅ |
881.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
881.00
|
Trades
|
SBF reduced sentence because autism? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 28 2024
|
✅ |
456.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
456.46
|
Trades
|
Will Trump receive a gag order Before April? |
Yes |
No |
250.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4000
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
250.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
150.00
|
Trades
|
Musk drops OpenAI case in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,890.87
|
0.00% |
|
0.9276
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,890.87
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-1,753.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
136.99
|
Trades
|
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.00
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 have the hottest March on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
✅ |
3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.00
|
Trades
|
Haiti intervention in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-0.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.48
|
Trades
|
Will Matt Gaetz be expelled from Congress before May? |
Yes |
No |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
✅ |
-0.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.70
|
Trades
|
Will Biden win Georgia Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10,000.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0010
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 12 2024
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Monday? |
Yes |
No |
150.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1067
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
✅ |
-16.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-16.00
|
Trades
|
Did the Alaska balloon come from China? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
✅ |
-28.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-28.00
|
Trades
|
Will Steve Garvey advance from the 2024 CA Senate Primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
✅ |
-28.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-28.20
|
Trades
|
Will Adam Schiff advance from the 2024 CA Senate Primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
500.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.1140
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
✅ |
-57.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-57.00
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley endorse Trump in March? |
Yes |
No |
1,802.26
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0350
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-63.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-63.02
|
Trades
|
Will Israel invade Lebanon before April? |
Yes |
No |
1,091.78
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-109.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-109.18
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win Colorado Republican Primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
✅ |
-111.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-111.60
|
Trades
|
Will Trump tweet again by April 1? |
Yes |
No |
1,800.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
✅ |
-126.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-126.00
|
Trades
|
Will WIF hit $1 by March 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.6300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
✅ |
-126.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-126.00
|
Trades
|
Did P. Diddy have sex with Meek Mill? |
Yes |
No |
7,013.24
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0180
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-126.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-126.24
|
Trades
|
Biden to drop out before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-178.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-178.73
|
Trades
|
WIF Sphere raises $650k by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
500.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.5500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
✅ |
-275.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-275.00
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by May 1? |
Yes |
No |
6,322.96
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0647
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
✅ |
-409.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-409.38
|
Trades
|
Will Katie Porter advance from the 2024 CA Senate Primary? |
Yes |
No |
1,445.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3038
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
✅ |
-439.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-439.00
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
700.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 23 2024
|
✅ |
-581.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-581.00
|
Trades
|
SBF sentenced to 50+ years? |
Yes |
No |
10,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
-1,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,000.00
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
250.00
|
15,199.35
|
|
|
-3,121.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12,328.04
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-10,868.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10,868.81
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
250.00
|
15,199.36
|
|
|
-13,990.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,459.23
|
|