Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
535.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
535.16
|
Trades
|
Joe Biden impeached before 2024 election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
194.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
194.26
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
8,283.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9737
|
0.03 |
0.97 |
0.00
|
8,063.69
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-8,065.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.60
|
Trades
|
Will Hillary Clinton win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,745.07
|
0.00% |
|
0.9755
|
0.04 |
0.96 |
0.00
|
1,675.58
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-1,702.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-26.75
|
Trades
|
India Election: Modi reelected? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 31 2024
|
|
-34.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-34.43
|
Trades
|
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
7,409.46
|
0.00% |
|
0.9599
|
0.05 |
0.95 |
0.00
|
7,073.75
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-7,112.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-38.89
|
Trades
|
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,798.70
|
0.00% |
|
0.9707
|
0.06 |
0.94 |
0.00
|
2,639.49
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-2,716.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-77.25
|
Trades
|
Will Kamala Harris win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,219.99
|
0.00% |
|
0.9568
|
0.08 |
0.92 |
0.00
|
2,037.08
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-2,123.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-86.91
|
Trades
|
Solana ETF approved in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6,032.02
|
0.00% |
|
0.9272
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-5,592.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5,592.88
|
Trades
|
Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by June? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
12,580.69
|
0.00% |
|
0.8430
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-10,605.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10,605.66
|
Trades
|
Doge ETF approved in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
26,985.52
|
0.00% |
|
0.9418
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-25,413.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-25,413.91
|
Trades
|
Trump jail before election day? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
43,526.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8670
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-37,739.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-37,739.15
|
Trades
|
SBF sentenced to 50+ years? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
79,813.32
|
0.00% |
|
0.7488
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
79,813.32
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
-59,763.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20,049.67
|
Trades
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
19,670.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19,670.77
|
Trades
|
SBF sentenced to life? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
14,065.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14,065.17
|
Trades
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 21 2023
|
✅ |
12,588.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12,588.22
|
Trades
|
Will Biden be impeached by March 31, 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
12,112.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12,112.10
|
Trades
|
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 31 2024
|
✅ |
8,185.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8,185.32
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
4,598.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4,598.39
|
Trades
|
Will Saudi Arabia accept invitation to join BRICS? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 01 2024
|
✅ |
4,388.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4,388.46
|
Trades
|
SBF reduced sentence because autism? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 28 2024
|
✅ |
3,948.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,948.17
|
Trades
|
Will Javier Milei win by more than 5% in the 2023 Argentina Presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Nov 18 2023
|
✅ |
3,345.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,345.54
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 15 2024
|
✅ |
3,213.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,213.39
|
Trades
|
Starlink available in Gaza by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
2,520.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,520.02
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
1,949.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,949.75
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
1,180.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,180.41
|
Trades
|
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
1,130.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,130.00
|
Trades
|
Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6,841.81
|
0.00% |
|
0.8916
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
6,841.81
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-6,100.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
741.51
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by January 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
728.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
728.18
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be Speaker by Mar 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
✅ |
687.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
687.11
|
Trades
|
Saudi and Israel peace deal by March 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
12,837.95
|
0.00% |
|
0.9466
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
12,837.95
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-12,152.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
685.29
|
Trades
|
Will Netanyahu still be Prime Minister of Israel by the end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
7,268.32
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9318
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
7,268.32
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-6,772.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
495.38
|
Trades
|
Congress passes bill banning TikTok by Apr 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
✅ |
458.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
458.15
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas surrender in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
12,270.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9641
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
12,270.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-11,829.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
440.91
|
Trades
|
Will Mahmoud Abbas still be President of the State of Palestine by the end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
6,629.54
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9393
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
6,629.54
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-6,227.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
402.26
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah officially join the war by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4,007.18
|
0.00% |
|
0.9600
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
4,007.18
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
-3,846.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
160.29
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by January 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,114.74
|
0.00% |
|
0.9402
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,114.74
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-1,048.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
66.70
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
43.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
43.49
|
Trades
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Sergio Massa win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 21 2023
|
✅ |
-292.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-292.06
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3,565.95
|
0.00% |
|
0.4775
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
-1,702.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,702.76
|
Trades
|
Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
2,338.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-1,870.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,870.40
|
Trades
|
Ethereum spot ETF approved by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
-42,179.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-42,179.38
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
13,897.86
|
116,885.00
|
|
|
-58,972.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
71,810.08
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
21,489.59
|
|
|
-100,377.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-78,887.99
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
13,897.86
|
138,374.59
|
|
|
-159,350.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7,077.91
|
|